Nevada vs UNLV Prediction College Football Picks 11/30/24

Pick details

UNLV (9-2) vs Nevada (3-9)

November 30, 2024 at 08:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: UNLV -17 / Nevada +17 — Over/Under: 56.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Nevada Wolf Pack and the UNLV Rebels battle in week 14 college football action from Allegiant Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Nevada vs. UNLV prediction.

Nevada Recap

The Nevada Wolf Pack come into this game looking to bounce back and nab a first conference win after falling to 3-9 overall with a 22-19 loss to Air Force last time out.

Wolf Pack Trying To Play Spoiler

Brendon Lewis has thrown for 1,998 yards, 14 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 66.9% passing while also rushing for 745 yards and 8 touchdowns. Savion Red has rushed for 683 yards with 8 touchdowns while Pat Garwo III has 246 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns. Jaden Smith has a team-high 757 receiving yards while Cortez Braham Jr. has 668 receiving yards and Marcus Bellon has 437 receiving yards and 4 TDs as well on the year. On defense, Kitan Crawford has a team-high 72 total tackles including 40 solo tackles while Henry Ikahihifo also has a team-high 3.5 sacks for the Wolf Pack this season. As a unit, Nevada’s defense has combined for 13 sacks and 11 interceptions on the year.

Why the Nevada Wolf Pack will win

  • The road team has won six of UNLV’s last seven games.
  • Nevada has covered the spread in six of its last seven November games as a road underdog.
  • UNLV has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games against conference opponents.

UNLV Recap

The UNLV Rebels come into this one looking to add onto their 27-16 win over San Jose State last time out to climb to 9-2 on the year.

Rebels Looking To Clinch Spot In MW Title Game

Hajj-Malik Williams has thrown for 1,567 yards 15 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 63.8% passing while also rushing for 664 yards and 8 touchdowns. Jai’Den Thomas has 698 rushing yards with 6 TDs and Kylin James has 461 rushing yards with 4 scores as well on the year. Ricky White III leads the Rebels with 70 grabs for 965 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns and Jacob De Jesus has 372 receiving yards so far this season. On defense, Jackson Woodard leads the Rebels with 108 total tackles and 3.5 sacks and 4 interceptions while Jalen Catalon has a team-high 5 interceptions. Antonio Doyle Jr. also has 5 sacks as well on the year. As a team, UNLV has combined for 30 sacks and 16 interceptions so far this season.

Why the UNLV Rebels will win

  • Nevada has lost each of its last 10 games in November.
  • UNLV has won nine of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Nevada has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in three of the last four games between Nevada and UNLV.

Nevada vs. UNLV Prediction

I’m on UNLV here. I don’t trust Nevada to keep this game close, even if UNLV kept a lot of stuff hidden and close to the vest here. The Rebels are the better team with motivation for not just a rivalry game, but to control their fate and punch their ticket to the Mountain West title game. I think the Rebels get the job done here and win by a comfortable gap. Give me UNLV.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: UNLV -17

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