Miami (OH) vs Fresno State Prediction 12/27/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The Fresno State Bulldogs and the Miami-Ohio Redhawks meet in the Arizona Bowl in college football action from Arizona Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Miami-Ohio Redhawks prediction.

Fresno State Bulldogs Recap

The Fresno State Bulldogs come into the Arizona Bowl on behalf of the Mountain West at 8-4 on the year after a 41-14 win over San Jose State last time out.

Bulldogs Looking For Fourth Win In Last 5 Bowl Games

E.J. Warner has thrown for 1,811 yards, 12 touchdowns and 11 interceptions on 69.4% passing while Carson Conklin has thrown for 354 yards, a touchdown and 2 interceptions on 49% passing. Rayshon Luke has a team-high 688 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns while Bryson Donelson has 580 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns this season. Josiah Freeman has a team-high 45 catches for 499 yards and 6 touchdowns while three more Miami receivers have 200+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Jadon Pearson has a team-high 98 total tackles while Simeon Harris has a team-high 5 interceptions and Al’zillion Hamiton has 4 interceptions. Finn Claypool has a team-high 6.5 sacks as well on the year.

Miami-Ohio Redhawks Recap

The Miami-Ohio Redhawks come into this game repping the MAC, sitting at 7-6 this season after a 23-13 loss to Western Michigan in the MAC title game.

Redhawks Looking For Back-To-Back Bowl Wins

Henry Hesson has thrown for 596 yards, 4 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 39.8% passing while Thomas Gotkowski has thrown for 503 yards and 4 touchdowns on 50% passing. Jordan Brunson leads the Bulldogs in rushing with 724 rushing yards and 4 TDs while Kam Perry has a team-high 966 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns to lead the Bulldogs in receiving. Cole Weaver has a team-high 43 catches for 599 yards while Keith Reynolds has 348 receiving yards and a touchdown as well. On defense, Eli Blakey has team-high 105 total tackles while Jackson Kuwatch has 5 sacks. Adam Trick has a team-high 8.5 Sacks while Corban Hondru, Eli Coppess and Silas Walters each have a team-high 3 interceptions. 

Miami (OH) RedHawks @ Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Trends: Bowl

Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win

• The favorite has won each of Miami (OH)’s last 14 games.
• Miami (OH) has lost each of its last six games as an underdog.
• The favorite has covered the spread in each of Miami (OH)’s last 12 games.
• Miami (OH) has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games as an underdog.
• Fresno State has won the first half in each of its last four games against non-conference opponents at neutral venues.
• Fresno State has won the first quarter in each of its last five games against non-conference opponents at neutral venues.

Total Points Facts

• Four of Fresno State’s last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Miami (OH)’s last three games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.

Fresno State Bulldogs Player Prop Facts

• Heading into the bowl games, Rayshon Luke ranks T3rd amongst qualified players for catch rate (92.3%) this season.

Miami (OH) RedHawks Player Prop Facts

• Heading into the bowl games, Kamryn Perry ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (23.0) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Fresno State ranks T4th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (19).
• Fresno State ranks 8th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (160.5).
• Miami (OH) ranks T16th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (14).
• Miami (OH) ranks 111th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (34.8).

Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Miami-Ohio Redhawks Prediction

I’m on the under here. Miami’s defense was competitive against some of the better teams in the MAC this season and I think they could have success here against a Fresno State offense with an inexperienced option in Conklin starting here. On the other side, Miami’s offense has been lacklustre with brutal QB play whether it’s Hesson or Gotkowski, and I think the under is a strong play here. Give me the under.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Under 41.5