Houston vs Baylor Prediction 11/29/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The Houston Cougars and the Baylor Bears meet in week 14 college football action from McLane Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Houston Cougars vs. Baylor Bears prediction.

Houston Cougars Recap

The Houston Cougars come into this game looking to rebound from a 17-14 loss to sit at 8-3 this season after falling to TCU last time out. 

Cougars Looking To Finish Strong

Conner Weigman has thrown for 2,274 yards, 20 touchdowns and 8 interceptions on 63.5% passing while Dean Connors has rushed for 800 yards and 4 TDs on the ground this season. Weigman has 523 rushing yards and 9 rushing TDs. Amare Thomas leads the Cougars with 809 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns while Stephon Johnson has 275 receiving yards and 2 TDs and Tanner Koziol has 592 receiving yards and 5 scores as well this season. On defense, Jalen Garner has a team-high 72 total tackles while Eddie Walls III has a team-high 5.5 sacks. Brandon Mack II has 4 sacks and Will James has a team-high 3 interceptions. As a unit, Houston’s defense has combined for 23 sacks and 11 interceptions so far this season.

Baylor Bears Recap

The Baylor Bears come into this game looking to shake off a 41-17 loss at the hands of Arizona last time out to slide to 5-6 this season. 

Bears Looking For Bowl Game

Sawyer Robertson has thrown for 3,372 yards, 30 touchdowns and 11 interceptions on 61.5% passing while Bryson Washington leads the Bears on the ground with 772 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns. Josh Cameron leads Baylor in receiving with 66 catches for 817 yards and 8 touchdowns and Michael Trigg has 50 grabs for 694 yards and 6 TDs. Kole Wilson and Ashtyn Hawkins each have 500+ receiving yards with Wilson logging 5 TDs. Kobe Prentice has chipped in 282 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns as well this season. On defense, Keaton Thomas has a team-high 88 total tackles including 53 solo tackles while Emar’rion Winston has a team-high 4 sacks. Jacob Redding also has a team-high 3 interceptions. As a unit, Baylor’s defense has combined for 12 sacks and 8 interceptions so far this season. 

Houston Cougars @ Baylor Bears Betting Trends: Week 14

Why the Baylor Bears will win

• The favorite has won each of Baylor’s last seven games.
• Houston has lost six of its last seven November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The favorite has covered the spread in each of Baylor’s last five games.
• Houston has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five November games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why the Houston Cougars will win

• The underdog has won four of Houston’s last five games.
• Baylor has lost four of its last five games.
• Baylor has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of Houston’s last four games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Houston’s last six games as an underdog against teams from Texas have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eight of Baylor’s last 10 home games against teams from Texas have gone UNDER the total points line.

Baylor Bears Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 14, Sawyer Robertson ranks T1st amongst FBS players for passing touchdowns (30) this season.

Houston Cougars Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 14, Dean Connors ranks 10th amongst qualified players for catch rate (87.5%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Baylor ranks 3rd among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (309.6).
• Baylor ranks T129th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (9.6).
• Houston ranks T2nd among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (1.7).
• Houston is one of only eight FBS teams undefeated in road games this season (5-0).

Houston Cougars vs. Baylor Bears Prediction

I’m on the Bears here. I think it’s telling that Baylor is favored here. Sure, Houston’s 5-0 on the road but it’s come against banged up teams or the dregs of the Big 12. Baylor has been horrible ATS this season, but they’re fighting for a bowl game on Senior Day while Houston’s only motivation is to play spoiler here. I think Baylor gets the win and cover at home so give me Baylor here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Baylor -2.5