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Cincinnati vs Iowa State Prediction College Football Picks 11/16/24
Pick details
Iowa State (7-1) vs Cincinnati (5-3)
November 16, 2024 at 08:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Iowa State -9.5 / Cincinnati +9.5 — Over/Under: 53.5
The Cincinnati Bearcats and Iowa State Cyclones meet Saturday in week 12 college football action at Jack Trice Stadium. Here’s a Cincinnati vs Iowa State Prediction. This article will include a Cincinnati vs Iowa State Pick.
Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Bearcats lost to Colorado and West Virginia, and they play Kansas State next. The Cincinnati Bearcats have split their last 4 road games. Brendan Sorsby is completing 66.1 percent of his passes for 2,387 yards, 16 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Xzavier Henderson and Joe Royer have combined for 1,089 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Tony Johnson has 32 receptions.
The Cincinnati Bearcats ground game is averaging 170.6 yards per contest, and Corey Kiner leads the way with 783 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing 22.2 points and 385.3 yards per game. Jake Golday leads the Cincinnati Bearcats with 52 tackles, Jared Bartlett has 6.5 sacks and Josh Minkins has 2 interceptions.
Iowa State Cyclones Betting Preview
The Iowa State Cyclones lost to Texas Tech and Kansas, and they play Utah next. Iowa State has won 4 of its last 5 home games. Rocco Becht is completing 61.3 percent of his passes for 2,394 yards, 16 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Jaylin Noel and Jayden Higgins have combined for 1,683 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns, while Benjamin Brahmer has 10 receptions.
The Iowa State Cyclones ground game is averaging 168.1 yards per contest, and Carson Hansen leads the way with 492 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Iowa State is allowing 18.8 points and 336.2 yards per game. Malik Verdon leads the Iowa State Cyclones with 58 tackles, JR Singleton has 4 sacks and Jontez Williams has 4 interceptions.
Why the Iowa State Cyclones will win
- Iowa State has won nine of its last 11 November home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Cincinnati has lost four of its last five November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Cincinnati has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games as an underdog.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Iowa State’s last eight November games at Jack Trice Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Cincinnati’s last three November games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Iowa State ranks 7th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (10.8).
- Iowa State ranks T7th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (75.0).
- Cincinnati ranks 9th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (+6.2).
- Cincinnati ranks 13th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (32:27).
Cincinnati vs Iowa State Prediction
The Iowa State Cyclones are the better team and should be favored at home, but they’re also coming off back-to-back losses and are taking a step back defensively. Cincinnati becomes bowl-eligible with a victory and has had some success on the road this season. This is the biggest dog Cincinnati has been all year and Iowa State is 3-3 ATS this season as a favorite of 7 or more points and in their last effort it lost outright. Too much respect for an Iowa State club that’s heading in the wrong direction. Give me the points with the Bearcats.
