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Arizona State vs Kansas State Prediction College Football Picks 11/16/24
Pick details
Kansas State (7-2) vs Arizona State (6-2)
November 16, 2024 at 07:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Kansas State -9 / Arizona State +9 — Over/Under: 53.5
The Arizona State Sun Devils and Kansas State Wildcats meet Saturday in week 12 college football action at Bill Snyder Family Stadium. Here’s an Arizona State vs Kansas State Prediction. This article will include an Arizona State vs Kansas State Pick.
Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Preview
The Arizona State Sun Devils beat Oklahoma State and UCF, and they play BYU next. Arizona State has split its last 4 road games. Sam Leavitt is completing 61.2 percent of his passes for 1,631 yards, 14 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Jordan Tyson and Cam Skattebo have combined for 1,061 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Chamon Metayer has 22 receptions.
The Arizona State Sun Devils ground game is averaging 198 yards per contest, and Skattebo leads the way with 1,001 yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, Arizona State is allowing 23.8 points and 330.8 yards per game. Myles Rowser leads the Arizona State Sun Devils with 71 tackles, Clayton Smith has 4 sacks and Caleb McCullough has 2 interceptions.
Kansas State Wildcats Betting Preview
The Kansas State Wildcats beat Kansas, lost to Houston, and they play Cincinnati next. Kansas State has won 4 straight home games. Avery Johnson is completing 61 percent of his passes for 1,892 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Jayce Brown and Keagan Johnson have combined for 944 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while DJ Giddens has 17 receptions.
The Kansas State Wildcats ground game is averaging 208.3 yards per contest, and DJ Giddens leads the way with 995 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas State is allowing 21.7 points and 329.7 yards per game. Austin Romaine leads the Kansas State Wildcats with 69 tackles, Brendan Mott has 8 sacks and Marques Sigle has 3 interceptions.
Why the Kansas State Wildcats will win
- Kansas State has won nine of its last 10 home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Arizona State has lost seven of its last eight games against AP-ranked teams.
- Arizona State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five November games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams.
- The favorite has covered the spread in five of Arizona State’s last six games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Kansas State’s last four November games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of Arizona State’s last seven games in November have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Kansas State ranks 13th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (35.0).
- Kansas State ranks 15th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (9.4).
- Arizona State ranks 27th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (198.0).
- Arizona State ranks T29th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (10.3).
Arizona State vs Kansas State Prediction
The Kansas State Wildcats should be favored at home, but this line is thick when you consider they just lost to Houston as double-digit favorites. The Arizona State Sun Devils are a balanced team that’s winning games and are 7-2 ATS on the season. This is the biggest dog Arizona State has been all season, while Kansas State is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games as a favorite of 7 or more points. I’ll gladly grab the points with Arizona State on the road.
