Alabama's Ty Simpson (15) celebrates following the College Football Playoff game between the University of Oklahoma Sooners (OU) and the Alabama Crimson Tide at the Gaylord Family – Oklahoma Memorial Stadium in Norman, Okla., Friday Dec. 19, 2025.
SARAH PHIPPS/THE OKLAHOMAN / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Alabama vs Indiana Prediction 1/1/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Alabama Crimson Tide Indiana Hoosiers
Team Records 11-3 13-0
Spread +7 -108 -7 -112
Moneyline +200 -245
Total Over 47.5 (-115) Under 47.5 (-105)
Where Rose Bowl, Pasadena, CA
When Thursday, January 1, 2026
Time 04:00 PM EST
TV ESPN

In this article we will formulate an Alabama vs Indiana prediction for this College Football game on Thursday, January 1st at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football Playoff game. 

Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 11-3 (7-1) this season after they defeated Oklahoma by a score of 34-24 in their last game. Alabama trailed 17-0 in the second quarter, but they were tied at 17 at halftime and scored 17 points in the second half to escape with the win. The Crimson Tide were out gained by a total of 362-260, went 2-12 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Ty Simpson went 18-29 for 232 yards and two touchdowns, while Daniel Hill rushed nine times for 43 yards and one score. Lotzeir Brooks led the receivers with five catches for 79 yards and two touchdowns in the win. 

Prior to that game, Alabama lost to Georgia by a score of 28-7, but did beat Auburn by a score of 27-20 before that. The Crimson Tide have won three of their last four games and they finished tied for first in the SEC standings. Alabama has scored 31.4 points per game with 270.2 passing yards and 109.9 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 17.9 points against per game this season. Ty Simpson has thrown for 3,500 yards, 28 touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Germie Bernard has 60 receptions for 802 yards and seven scores this season. 

Indiana Hoosiers Betting Preview

The Indiana Hoosiers are 13-0 (9-0) this year after they defeated Ohio State by a score of 13-10 in their last game. Indiana trailed 10-6 at halftime, but they scored the only points in the second half to win the Big Ten Championship game. The Hoosiers out gained OSU by a total of 340-322, went 6-13 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Fernando Mendoza went 15-23 for 222 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Kaelon Black rushed 16 times for 69 yards. Charlie Becker led the receivers with six catches for 126 yards in the win. 

Prior to that game, Indiana defeated Purdue by a score of 56-3 and Wisconsin by a score of 31-7. The Hoosiers have won all 13 games this season and they finished tied for first in the Big Ten standings. Indiana has scored 41.9 points per game with 251.6 passing yards and 221.2 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 10.8 points against per game this season. Fernando Mendoza has thrown for 2,980 yards, 33 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Roman Hemby has rushed for 918 yards and six scores on 176 carries this year. 

Alabama vs Indiana Prediction 

Alabama comes into this matchup after their crazy comeback win over Oklahoma, while Indiana is trying to stay perfect this year. The Hoosiers have had a long layoff since their last game, so they could start this one slow. We did see Indiana pick up a very low scoring win over Ohio State in their last game, as their offense struggled to generate points. I think we will see a higher scoring game here, but I am backing Alabama with the points. The Crimson Tide have an elite passing game and their speed is going to give Indiana some trouble. I also think the Indiana layoff is a bad thing and a slow start could spell trouble for them. Take the Tide and the points here. 

David Racey is 182-149 (55%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!

David Racey's Pick: Alabama +7

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