Alabama State vs UAB Prediction 8/28/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Saint Alabama State vs UAB Prediction for this College Football Week 1 game on Thursday, August 28^th at the Protective Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

UAB Blazers Preview

UAB Blazers had a 3-9 overall record and a 2-6 conference record last season in the AAC. Offensively last season, the Blazers scored 26.2 points per game, while allowing 34.3 points per game defensively. UAB averaged 130.9 rushing yards and 261.6 passing yards per game last season. They allowed 212.9 rushing yards per game and 180.3 passing yards per game.

Jalen Kitna led the Blazers last season with 196/316 completed passes and 2,209 total passing yards. He also had 17 touchdowns, 11 interceptions, and 23 sacks. Lee Beebe Jr. led the team in rushing yards, with 885 yards and 7 touchdowns, while Amare Thomas caught 62 passes for a team-high 670 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns.

Defensively, Michael Moore had a team-high 92 total tackles, 38 of them solo, and 2 interceptions, while Desmond Little had a team-high 6 total sacks.

Alabama State Hornets Preview

Alabama State had a 7-5 overall record and a 5-3 conference record last season in the SWAC, having a 1-2 away record. Offensively last season, the Hornets scored 22.7 points per game, while allowing 16.7 points per game defensively. Alabama State averaged 169 rushing yards and 143.8 passing yards per game last season. They allowed 106.3 rushing yards per game and 159.1 passing yards per game.

Kareem Keye led the Hornets last season with 82/140 completed passes and 1,355 total passing yards. He also had 11 touchdowns, 4 interceptions, and 7 sacks. Daquon Kincey led the team in rushing yards, with 726 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Robert McMinn caught 13 passes for a team-high 322 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns.

Defensively, DeMarkus Cunningham had a team-high 91 total tackles, 39 of them solo, while Treqwan Thomas had a team-high 10 total sacks.

Why the UAB Blazers will win

• UAB has won each of its last nine season openers.
• UAB has covered the spread in each of its last four games against teams from Alabama.
• UAB has won the first quarter in each of its last four Thursday games against non-conference opponents.
• UAB has won the first half in five of its last six games against non-conference opponents at Protective Stadium.

Why the Alabama State Hornets will win

• UAB has lost six of its last seven games against non-conference opponents.
• UAB has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of UAB’s last six home games against teams from Alabama have gone UNDER the total points line.

Alabama State vs UAB Prediction

Those two teams have only met twice, with the most recent being a 24-19 UAB win at home back in 2019. Alabama State covered the spread, as the game went under the total.

In this Alabama State vs UAB Prediction, UAB is coming as home favorites. UAB had a better offense last season, scoring 3.5 points more than Alabama State, but the Hornets had a superior defense, allowing less than half points than UAB. The Hornets also had better defensive number, as they allowed less rushing and passing yards, and they had more than twice wins than UAB had. It is hard to make a case for a road team in college sports, especially in a season opener, but I like the chance of the Alabama State Hornets keeping it close in this one.