Purdue vs Indiana Prediction College Football Picks 11/30/24

The Purdue Boilermakers and the Indiana Hoosiers meet Saturday in college football action from the Rock. Here’s a Purdue vs Indiana prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Purdue vs Indiana pick. We will examine:

The Purdue Boilermakers’ recent form and player performance

The Indiana Hoosiers’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Purdue Boilermakers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Indiana Hoosiers

Recent betting trends in games played between Purdue and Indiana

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Purdue vs Indiana game

Purdue Boilermakers Betting Preview

Purdue opened things up with a win over Indiana State. The Boilermakers have fallen to Notre Dame, Oregon State, Nebraska, Wisconsin, Illinois, Oregon, Northwestern, Ohio State, Penn State, and Michigan State in succession since then, however.

In the Michigan State game on Friday, Purdue faced a 24-3 deficit by halftime. The Boilermakers hit a 14-0 run from there but still lost 24-17. QB Hudson Card threw for 342 yards, one score, and one pick. Jahmal Edrine led the receivers on 87 yards from five catches.

Indiana Hoosiers Betting Preview

Over on the Indiana side, they managed a nice run of wins to start the season. The Hoosiers took out FIU, Western Illinois, UCLA, Charlotte, Maryland, Northwestern, Nebraska, Washington, Michigan State, and Michigan before their first loss to Ohio State.

Matched up against Ohio State over the weekend, the Hoosiers held an early 7-0 lead but were quickly buried in a 38-15 blowout loss. Kurtis Rourke threw for just 68 yards, while Ty Son Lawton did most of the offensive work on 15 carries for 79 yards and two touchdowns.

Why the Indiana Hoosiers will win

• Purdue has lost each of its last nine road games.
• The favorite has won each of Indiana’s last 12 games.
• Indiana has covered the spread in eight of its last nine games as a favorite.
• Purdue has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games as an underdog against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
• Indiana has won the first half in each of its last four home games against conference opponents.

Why the Purdue Boilermakers will win

• Purdue has won five of its last six November games against Indiana.
• Indiana has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven November games at Memorial Stadium (Bloomington).
• Purdue has covered the spread in six of its last seven games against Indiana.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of Indiana’s last nine November games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Purdue’s last four November games at Memorial Stadium (Bloomington) have gone UNDER the total points line.

Purdue vs Indiana Prediction

I’m going to stay with Indiana, even though it’s quite a hefty line. The Hoosiers were demolished by a great Ohio State team last weekend, mustering just 151 yards 968 passing), 2.6 yards per play and 16 first downs. Defensively Indiana wasn’t terrible (316 yards and 14 first downs allowed) but the game was out of reach fairly quickly. The good news is that Indiana could sleepwalk through this weekend’s matchup and still win.

As for Purdue, they suffered a slow start versus Michigan State but played better after halftime. The trouble is, the Boilermakers couldn’t get anything going on the ground (negative-four yards), went just 5-of-13 on third downs, and had a couple of turnovers. That makes 20 or fewer points in five straight games. I don’t see the Boilermakers rallying here.