May 18, 2026; Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA; San Antonio Spurs center Victor Wembanyama (1) celebrates with San Antonio Spurs guard Stephon Castle (5) after defeating the Oklahoma City Thunder in double overtime against  during game one of the western conference finals for the 2026 NBA playoffs at Paycom Center. Mandatory Credit: Alonzo Adams-Imagn Images
Alonzo Adams-Imagn Images

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 5/20/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP San Antonio Spurs Oklahoma City Thunder
Team Records 62-20 64-18
Spread +7.5 -105 -7.5 -115
Moneyline +210 -258
Total Over 216.5 (-108) Under 216.5 (-112)
Where Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
When Wednesday, May 20, 2026
Time 08:30 PM EDT
TV NBC

The San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Wednesday in NBA Game 2 at the Paycom Center. Here’s a San Antonio Spurs vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction. This article will include a San Antonio Spurs vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Pick.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview

The San Antonio Spurs have a chance to steal two road games and take a commanding 2-0 series lead. The Spurs have won 44 of their last 55 games.

The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 117.3 points on 48.5 percent shooting and allowing 103.5 points on 40.5 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 22.2 points and 11.9 rebounds, while Stephon Castle is averaging 19.7 points and 6.5 assists. De’Aaron Fox is the third double-digit scorer, and Dylan Harper is dishing 2.5 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 37.5 percent from beyond the arc and 79.4 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 32.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.7 rebounds per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder need a win to even up the series at 1-1. The Thunder have won 15 of their last 18 games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 120.6 points on 49.7 percent shooting and allowing 106.6 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 28.6 points and 7.7 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 22.3 points and 5 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 4 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 38.3 percent from beyond the arc and 85.3 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41 rebounds per game.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

  • The Thunder have won each of their last eight playoff games at Paycom Center following a loss.
  • The Spurs have lost each of their last seven road games following an overtime win.
  • The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last eight night games at Paycom Center following an overtime loss.
  • The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as road underdogs after coming off overtime.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

  • The Spurs have won each of their last 13 Wednesday games.
  • The Thunder have lost each of their last two Western Conference Finals games as home favorites against Southwest Division opponents.
  • The Spurs have covered the spread in seven of their last eight Western Conference Finals games following a win.
  • The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as favorites against Southwest Division opponents.

Total Points: Facts

  • Each of the Spurs’ last six playoff games has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Nine of the Thunder’s last 10 night games have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Three of the last four Western Conference Finals Game 2s have gone OVER the total points line.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

  • Chet Holmgren ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for blocks per game (1.9) this season.
  • Ajay Mitchell is one of only 13 players to have made 8+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.

San Antonio Spurs Player Facts

  • Dylan Harper is one of only eight players in the league to have recorded 7+ steals in a game this season.
  • Julian Champagnie is one of only 11 players in the league to have made 10+ threes in a game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (74.0%).
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (16.2).
  • The Spurs rank 1st in the league for Q1 win percentage this season (69.5%).
  • The Spurs rank 2nd in the league for point differential per game this season (+8.3).

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report

De’Aaron Fox is questionable for the Spurs with foot soreness.

The Thunder will be without Thomas Sober due to an ACL injury.

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

The Thunder are going to remain the betting favorite because they’ve been the team to beat over the last two years. However, the value remains with the Spurs and the points, as I mentioned in my previous write-ups. The Spurs are title contending good and are the team I’ve had winning it all since December. The Spurs are the one team that doesn’t fear OKC and has actually now won 6 of the last 8 meetings against them. The Spurs are also 54-39-2 ATS on the season, while the Thunder are 44-46-1 ATS. This simply isn’t a fluke. The Spurs are good. The Spurs are capable of getting greedy and winning this game as well. I want the points with the Spurs whenever I can get them.

Randy Chambers's Pick: San Antonio Spurs +6.5

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