Jan 18, 2026; Houston, Texas, USA; Houston Rockets center Alperen Sengun (28) rebounds against the New Orleans Pelicans during the fourth quarter at Toyota Center. Mandatory Credit: Erik Williams-Imagn Images
Erik Williams-Imagn Images

San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets Prediction 1/20/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP San Antonio Spurs Houston Rockets
Team Records 30-13 25-15
Spread +4.5 -115 -4.5 -105
Moneyline +142 -170
Total Over 221.5 (-105) Under 221.5 (-115)
Where Toyota Center (Houston), Houston, TX
When Tuesday, January 20, 2026
Time 08:00 PM EST
TV NBC

The Houston Rockets play host to the San Antonio Spurs at the Toyota Center on Tuesday night. Here’s a San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets Prediction. This article will include a San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets Pick.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview 

The Houston Rockets are starting to build some momentum with three wins in their past four games and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after beating the Pelicans in a 119-110 win on Sunday. Jabari Smith Jr drained seven 3-pointers to lead the team with 32 points on 11 of 21 shooting, Alperen Sengun added 21 points with eight rebounds and five steals while Amen Thompson chipped in with 20 points, eight rebounds and six assists.

As a team, the Rockets shot 50 percent from the field and 13 of 36 from the 3-point line as they looked to be in a real battle after squandering an early 11-point lead. However, they regrouped and went on another run in the fourth quarter to lead by as many as 19 points before holding off a late rally from the Pelicans. 

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the San Antonio Spurs have been in great shape as they’ve won five of their last seven games overall and they will be aiming for a fourth straight victory after routing the Jazz in a 123-110 win last night. Victor Wembenyama led the team with 33 points, 10 rebounds and two blocks, Stephon Castle added 18 points with eight assists while De’Aaron Fox chipped in with 14 points and eight assists.

As a team, the Spurs shot 56 percent from the field and 16 of 38 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 34 points in the first quarter to take a narrow lead into halftime. Before they exploded for 35 points in the third quarter to put the game to bed early with a 24-point lead. 

Why the Houston Rockets will win

  • The Rockets have won each of their last 11 games as home favorites against Southwest Division opponents.
  • The Spurs have lost 29 of their last 32 night games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Rockets have covered the spread in each of their last six home games against the Spurs following a win.
  • The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games at Toyota Center.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

  • The Spurs have won each of their last seven games following a home win.
  • The Rockets have lost four of their last five games as favorites against Southwest Division opponents.
  • The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
  • The Spurs have covered the spread in each of their last five games when playing with a rest disadvantage.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Spurs’ last seven road games against the Rockets following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Nine of the Rockets’ last 10 games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Houston Rockets Player Facts

  • Clint Capela ranks 4th amongst qualified players for rebounds per 36 minutes (14.1) this season.
  • Kevin Durant is one of only 11 players in the league to have recorded 4+ blocks in consecutive games this season.

San Antonio Spurs Player Facts

  • Luke Kornet ranks 7th amongst qualified players for assist:turnover ratio (4.1) this season.
  • Julian Champagnie is one of only eight players in the league to have made 10+ threes in a game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Rockets rank 1st in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (16.4).
  • The Rockets rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (75.1%).
  • The Spurs rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (17.0).
  • The Spurs have missed the playoffs in six consecutive seasons – second-longest active streak in the NBA.

San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets Prediction

The Rockets have ruled out Fred VanVleet and Steven Adams with Tari Eason listed as questionable, while the Spurs will again be missing Devin Vassell. The Rockets are starting to get back into form with a few nice wins, and I get why they are slight favorites at home in this spot. However, the Spurs have been the healthier team in better form, but they are playing their second game of a back to back set, which makes things a little tricky. This should be a close one, but I have been a little more impressed with the Spurs’ play lately, and I think they can keep it going with a minor upset on the road in this spot.

Peter Tran's Pick: San Antonio +4.5

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