Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Prediction 1/15/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Oklahoma City Thunder and the Houston Rockets do battle at the Toyota Center on Thursday night. Here’s a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Prediction. This article will include a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview 

The Oklahoma City Thunder have continued their hot streak as they’ve won eight of their last 10 games overall and they will be gunning for a fifth straight victory after blowing past the Spurs in a 119-98 home win on Tuesday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 34 points with five assists on 11 of 23 shooting, Jalen Williams added 20 points on nine of 15 shooting while Jaylin Williams chipped in with 11 points, 10 rebounds and five assists off the bench.

As a team, the Thunder shot 52 percent from the field and 11 of 30 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 32 points in the first quarter to take the early lead. However, they really didn’t get any separation until the third quarter where the Thunder exploded for 40 points to open up a double digit lead and win comfortably. 

Houston Rockets Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Houston Rockets have cooled off a bit recently as they’ve dropped four of their last six games overall. But they will be feeling much better after they snapped a three-game slide with a 119-113 win over the Bulls on Tuesday. Kevin Durant led the team with 28 points, 10 rebounds and four assists on 12 of 23 shooting, Alperen Sengun and Amen Thompson added 23 points each while Jabari Smith Jr chipped in with 18 points.

As a team, the Rockets shot 51 percent from the field and seven of 24 from the 3-point line as they got off to a sloppy start and allowed 36 points in the second quarter to trail going into halftime. They were trailing late in the fourth quarter before they closed the final 2:52 on a 14-7 run to secure the much-needed victory at home. 

Why the Houston Rockets will win

• The Rockets have won each of their last 10 games at Toyota Center following a home win.
• The Thunder have lost seven of their last eight games at Toyota Center.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Rockets’ last six games.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight night games at Toyota Center.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won 26 of their last 27 games as favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Rockets have lost each of their last five night games against Northwest Division opponents.
• The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight Thursday games as home underdogs.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in 12 of their last 15 road games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Rockets’ last nine home games against Northwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Thunder’s last three games as favorites against the Rockets have gone OVER the total points line.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Prediction

The Thunder are still missing Nikola Topic and Isaiah Hartenstein with Luguentz Dort listed as questionable, while the Rockets have ruled out Fred VanVleet, Dorian Finney-Smith and Tari Eason again. These teams have already met once this season with the Thunder beating the Rockets by 125-124 in double overtime back on Oct. 21 so it’s fair to assume that we could be in for another close contest in this meeting.

The Rockets were able to take down the shorthanded Bulls in their last outing, but the win was far from convincing, and they had lost three in a row before that win. In contrast, the Thunder has been in terrific form lately, they are getting healthier with players returning to the lineup and I think they get the win and cover in this spot.

Peter Tran's Pick: Oklahoma City -4.5