Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Prediction 1/2/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Golden State Warriors meet Friday in NBA action at the Chase Center. Here’s a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Trail Blazers and Hawks, and then play the Suns next. The Thunder have won 33 of their last 38 regular season games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 122.2 points on 49.4 percent shooting and allowing 107.6 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.2 points and 6.4 assists, while Chet Holmgren is averaging 18.5 points and 7.9 rebounds. Jalen Williams is the third double-digit scorer and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 83.2 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 37.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.4 rebounds per game.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors beat the Nets and Hornets, and they’ll play the Jazz next. The Warriors have won 5 of their last 6 games.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 115.6 points on 45.6 percent shooting and allowing 113.4 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 28.7 points and 4.3 assists, while Jimmy Butler averages 19.7 points and 4.9 assists. Brandin Podziemski is the third double-digit scorer, and Jonathan Kuminga is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 36.3 percent from beyond the arc and 82.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.6 rebounds per game.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Warriors have won nine of their last 10 home games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Thunder have lost each of their last two games as road favorites following a win.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 home games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 15 road games against teams that held a winning record.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last 16 night games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Warriors have lost each of their last eight night games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 night games against Pacific Division opponents that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Warriors’ last 11 night games against Northwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Thunder’s last six road games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Brandin Podziemski ranks 32nd amongst qualified players for 3P% (40.9%) this season.
• Quinten Post ranks 13th amongst qualified Centers for three-pointers made per game (1.5) this season.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per 36 minutes (34.8) this season.
• Alex Caruso ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (3.0) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Warriors rank 30th in the league for Q1 points per game this season (27.2).
• This season, 41.3% of the Warriors’ scoring has come from beyond the three-point line – highest mark in the league.
• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (18.1).
• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (43.3%).

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Injury Report

The Warriors will be without Seth Curry and Draymond Green. Stephen Curry and De’Anthony Melton are questionable.

The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Ousmane Dieng, Isaiah Hartenstein, Nikola Topic, and Jaylin Williams.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

The Warriors are coming off a solid week and are at home, where they’ve played their best ball. However, the Warriors aren’t a deep team and when they’re down Draymond and possibly Curry, it makes them hard to back with confidence. The Thunder have won both games against the Warriors this season by double digits, and they’ve won 6 of the last 8 games against them overall. The line isn’t too crazy and the gap between these teams widens if Curry doesn’t play, obviously. I have to lay the buckets with OKC.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5