New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Prediction 11/17/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The New York Knicks travel to the Kaseya Center to battle the Miami Heat on Monday night. Here’s a New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Pick.

New York Knicks Betting Preview 

The New York Knicks have been in great form as they’ve won six of their last seven games overall and they will be eager to stay hot after outlasting the Heat in a 140-132 win on Friday. Karl-Anthony Towns drained six 3-pointers to lead the team with 39 points on 13 of 26 shooting, Landry Shamet added 36 points on 12 of 19 shooting off the bench while Jordan Clarkson chipped in with 24 points. As a team, the Knicks shot 46 percent from the field and 21 of 53 from the 3-point line as they took control of the contest with a 46-point burst in the second quarter to take the early lead. Before they made a final push in the fourth quarter to lead by as many as 15 points. 

Miami Heat Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have cooled off a bit lately as they are now looking to avoid a third straight defeat after falling short to the Knicks in a tough loss on Friday. Norman Powell connected on eight 3-pointers to lead the way with 38 points on 12 of 22 shooting, Jaime Jacquez Jr added 23 points, nine rebounds and seven assists off the bench while Andrew Wiggins and Kel’el Ware each scored 15 points. As a team, the Heat shot 46 percent from the field and 19 of 44 from the 3-point line, but they weren’t at their usual standards on the defensive end and were always playing from behind after allowing 46 points in the second quarter. 

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Knicks have lost each of their last five road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Heat have won each of their last seven games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Knicks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of the last four games between the Knicks and Heat.

Why the New York Knicks will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Heat’s last three games at Kaseya Center.
• The Heat have lost six of their last seven games at Kaseya Center against Atlantic Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Knicks have covered the spread in six of their last seven games.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games against Atlantic Division opponents following a loss.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Heat’s last nine games as home favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Knicks’ last five games have gone OVER the total points line.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Kel’el Ware is one of only three players in the league to have recorded 20+ rebounds in a game this season.
• Simone Fontecchio ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.8) this season.

New York Knicks Player Facts

• Karl-Anthony Towns is the only qualified player in the league to be leading their team in rebounds per game (12.5) and free-throw percentage (89.9%) this season.
• Josh Hart is the only player to have recorded a triple-double off the bench this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (45.9).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for field goals made per game this season (45.3).
• The Knicks rank 1st in the league for Q2 points per game this season (33.7).
• The Knicks rank 2nd in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (14.8).

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Knicks are still missing Jalen Brunson and OG Anunoby with Miles McBride listed as questionable due to personal reasons, while the Heat have ruled out Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo once again. These teams have split two meetings this season but it is the Knicks who won on Friday behind big games from Karl-Anthony Towns and Landry Shamet. It’s always tough to beat the same team twice in a row without your best player, but the Heat are missing some key players also, so I like the Knicks as the underdogs in this spot.

Peter Tran's Pick: New York +1.5