Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction 11/23/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Miami Heat and the Philadelphia 76ers duke it out at the Wells Fargo Center on Sunday afternoon. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview 

The Miami Heat have been in pretty good form as they’ve won six of their last eight games overall and they will be gunning for a fourth straight victory after running past the Bulls in a 143-107 road win on Friday. Kel’el Ware led the team with 20 points and 14 rebounds on eight of 15 shooting, Norman Powell added 19 points, Bam Adebayo tallied 18 points with seven rebounds and five assists while Davion Mitchell and Pelle Larsson each scored 16 points.

As a team, the Heat shot 47 percent from the field and 14 of 38 from the 3-point line as they stormed out of the gates with 70 points in the first half. They just never took their foot off the gas to scorch the Bulls and earn their biggest blowout win of the season so far. 

Philadelphia 76ers Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Philadelphia 76ers have been in a rut as they’ve lost five of their last nine games overall, but they will be eager to build some momentum after outlasting the Bucks in a 123-114 overtime road win on Thursday. Tyrese Maxey led the way with a season-high 54 points and nine assists on 18 of 30 shooting, Paul George added 21 points on seven of 12 shooting while Quentin Grimes chipped in with 14 points and four assists off the bench.

As a team, the 76ers shot 43 percent from the field and 18 of 53 from the 3-point line as they rallied their way back from an early 13-point deficit to force overtime. They were always trailing after allowing the 76ers to score the first five points. 

Why the Philadelphia 76ers will win

• The Heat have lost each of their last five day games against teams that held a winning record.
• The 76ers have won each of their last seven games as favorites.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine road games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The 76ers have covered the spread in each of their last four games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The 76ers have lost each of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
• The Heat have won three of their last four games as underdogs.
• The 76ers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
• The Heat have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games at Xfinity Mobile Arena.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the 76ers’ last four games at Xfinity Mobile Arena have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of the Heat’s last six road games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Philadelphia 76ers Player Facts

• VJ Edgecombe ranks 1st amongst qualified rookies for assists per game (4.2) this season.
• Quentin Grimes ranks T31st amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (2.6) this season.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Simone Fontecchio ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.6) this season.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. is one of only five players to have scored 30+ points off the bench in a game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The 76ers rank 1st in the league for Q4 opponent points per game this season (24.7).
• The 76ers rank 1st in the league for Q4 win percentage this season (80.0%).
• The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (14.8).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (31.6%).

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction

The Heat are still missing Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggisn and Nikola Jovic, while the 76ers have ruled out Kelly Oubre Jr and Joel Embiid with VJ Edgecombe listed as questionable. The Heat come into this meeting as the team clearly in better form over the past couple weeks and they just smashed the Bulls by 36 points in their last outing.

However, the 76ers were able to pull off a nice overtime win over the Bucks on Thursday thanks to a monster game from Maxey who poured in 54 points. It’s tempting to go with the 76ers and the hot hand of Maxey, but with the injury cloud hanging over Edgecombe, I prefer a play on the Heat as the slight underdogs in this spot.

Peter Tran's Pick: Miami +1.5