Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Player Prop Picks 4/11/25 NBA Picks

The Miami Heat will travel to face the New Orleans Pelicans at the Smoothie King Center on Friday, April 11, 2025, at 8:00 p.m. ET. The Heat come into the matchup with a 36–44 record, while the Pelicans have struggled this season, sitting at 21–58. 

Miami has a few injury concerns, with shooting guard Pelle Larsson listed as questionable due to a right ankle sprain, and Tyler Herro is probable with a right thigh contusion. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are dealing with a significant number of injuries, with 11 players on the injury report. 

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Tyler Herro Over 24.5 Points

Tyler Herro is averaging 23.9 points per game, ranking 17th in the NBA. He also contributes 5.2 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game, with a field goal percentage of 47.1%. Herro has been particularly impressive in recent games, scoring over 20 points in eight consecutive appearances. During this stretch, he has averaged 27.8 points, 5.1 assists, 5.0 rebounds, 2.9 three-pointers, and 1.4 steals per game. ​This is an important game for the Heat when it comes to postseason seeding, so I expect their best scorer to have a solid night against a bad Pelicans team. We’ve seen him clear this number in 6 of his last 7 games. Let’s ride the hot hand.

Bam Adebayo Over 9.5 Rebounds

Miami Heat center Bam Adebayo is averaging 9.6 rebounds per game during the 2024-25 NBA season, ranking him 14th in the league.  His rebounding is divided into 7.2 defensive rebounds and 2.4 offensive rebounds per game. The Pelicans’ frontcourt is really thin at this point in the season due to injuries. New Orleans allows 53.7 rebounds per game to opposing teams, which is the 4th most in the league. Expect Adebayo to have another solid night on the glass. 

Bruce Brown Over 11.5 Points

Bruce Brown is averaging 8.3 points, 4.0 rebounds, and 2.0 assists per game over 22.5 minutes. His shooting efficiency includes a field goal percentage of 42.1%, a three-point percentage of 33.3%, and a free throw percentage of 81.5%. We’ve seen Brown’s scoring number gradually increase as more players on the Pelicans team have been ruled out for the rest of the season. Brown has 12+ points in 6 of his last 9 games. With the lack of options left on this Pelicans team, Brown will be forced to get opportunities to score the ball.