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Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction 4/2/25 NBA Picks

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Boston Celtics (56-19) vs Miami Heat (34-41)

April 2, 2025 at 07:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Boston Celtics -11.5 — Over/Under: 213

(Get latest betting odds)

The Boston Celtics play host to the Miami Heat at the TD Garden on Wednesday night. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat have sprung to life lately as they will be eager to build on their current five-game win streak after smashing the Wizards by 120-94 on Monday. Bam Adebayo led the team with 28 points, 12 rebounds, and five assists; Tyler Herro added 27 points with five assists while Terry Rozier chipped in with 15 points and six assists off the bench. As a team, the Heat shot 50 percent from the field and nine of 32 from the 3-point line as they jumped all over the Wizards from the start and were always in complete control after dominating the first quarter by 36-23. The Heat were sloppy with the ball as they committed 19 turnovers, but they played like the more desperate team from the start and dominated with 68 points in the paint. 

Boston Celtics Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Boston Celtics have been on fire as they’ve won 14 of their last 15 games overall, and they will be aiming for a 10th-straight victory after blowing past the Grizzlies in a 117-103 road win on Monday. Al Horford led the team with 26 points on nine of 18 shooting off the bench, Jayson Tatum added 25 points with 14 rebounds, Kristaps Porzingis scored 19 points with five assists while Jrue Holiday tallied 18 points with seven assists. As a team, the Celtics shot just 40 percent from the field and 21 of 62 from the 3-point line as they exploded for 41 points in the second quarter to erase an early 11-point deficit. Before they clamped down defensively and held the Grizzlies to just 18 points in the fourth quarter to pull away and win comfortably on the road. The Celtics will meet the Suns, Wizards, and Knicks after this game.

Why the Boston Celtics will win

  • The Celtics have won each of their last 15 night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Heat have lost each of their last eight games against Atlantic Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in each of the last six games between the Heat and Celtics.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 road games on the first leg of a back-to-back.

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The road team has won nine of the Celtics’ last 10 games.
  • The Celtics have lost each of their last two games as home favorites against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last seven games following a win.
  • The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven home games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of the Celtics’ last eight night games against Southeast Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Five of the Heat’s last six road games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction

The Heat are still missing Duncan Robinson, Andrew Wiggins, and Kevin Love, while the Celtics are keeping eyes on Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, and Jrue Holiday, who are all questionable. The Heat have been playing much better basketball lately, but they have lost all three meetings against the Celtics this season, and none of them were close. Both teams are missing some key players, which makes this a bit tricky, but the Celtics have owned the Heat this season, and I think that continues in this one with the Celtics cruising at home.

Peter Tran's Pick: Boston -11.5

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