Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 12/22/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Memphis Grizzlies and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Monday in NBA action at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies beat the Timberwolves, lost to the Wizards, and they play the Jazz next. The Grizzlies have won 9 of their last 13 games.

The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 114.1 points on 45.2 percent shooting and allowing 115.9 points on 47 percent shooting. Ja Morant is averaging 17.7 points and 3.5 rebounds, while Jaren Jackson Jr. is averaging 17.4 points and 2 assists. Zach Edey is the third double-digit scorer, and Cedric Coward is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 80.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 36.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.9 rebounds per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Clippers, lost to the Timberwolves, and then play the Spurs next. The Thunder have won 29 of their last 32 regular season games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 123.1 points on 9.7 percent shooting and allowing 106.4 points on 42.8 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.4 points and 6.4 assists, while Chet Holmgren is averaging 18.7 points and 8 rebounds. Jalen Williams is the third double-digit scorer and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 37.6 percent from beyond the arc and 83.4 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last 38 night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Grizzlies have lost each of their last 10 night games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last nine games against the Grizzlies at Paycom Center.
• The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven night games at Paycom Center.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

• The underdogs have won five of the Grizzlies’ last six games.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Grizzlies’ last four games.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the last eight games between the Grizzlies and Thunder have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the Grizzlies’ last eight games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (18.1).
• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (42.6%).
• The Grizzlies rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (21.5).
• The Grizzlies rank 3rd in the league for rebounds per game this season (46.4).

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report

The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Ousmane Dieng, Nikola Topic, Jaylin Williams, and Isaiah Hartenstein. Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, and Chet Holmgren are questionable.

The Grizzlies will be without Scotty Pippen Jr., Ty Jerome, Zach Edey, John Konchar, Javon Small, Vince Williams Jr., and Ja Morant.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

The Grizzlies have been winning and covering numbers lately, despite having a CVS receipt for an injury report. However, at some point these injuries will take its toll, and it’s usually spots like this. Even at full strength, the Thunder has owned the Grizzlies, which includes being 10-0 SU and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Most of those games weren’t close. The Grizzlies haven’t beat the Thunder since December 2022. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever was in theaters. It’s a massive number, but we’ve seen this movie before with OKC. The Thunder are 7-4 ATS in their last 11 games as double-digit favorites. I’ll lay the points.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -16.5