Jun 19, 2025; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; Oklahoma City Thunder guard Aaron Wiggins (21) shoots the ball defended by Indiana Pacers guard Ben Sheppard (26) in the fourth quarter during game six of the 2025 NBA Finals at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Mandatory Credit: Trevor Ruszkowski-Imagn Images

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 06/22/2025 Picks

Pick details

Indiana (50-32) vs Oklahoma City (68-14)

June 22, 2025 at 08:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Oklahoma City -7.5 — Over/Under: +214.5

(Get latest betting odds)


The Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Sunday in the NBA Finals Game 7 at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction. This article will include a Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview 

The Indiana Pacers look to win their first title since the 1972-73 season. The Pacers are 7-4 SU on the road this postseason. The Pacers haven’t played a game 7 this postseason. 

The Indiana Pacers are averaging 115.1 points on 48.6 percent shooting and allowing 112.5 points on 45.1 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 20.7 points and 6.5 rebounds, while Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 17.7 points and 5.6 rebounds. Myles Turner is the third double-digit scorer, and Aaron Nesmith is grabbing 5.6 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 39 percent from beyond the arc and 78.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 34.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.4 rebounds per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview 

The Oklahoma City Thunder look to win their first title since the 1978-79 season when they were the Seattle SuperSonics. The Thunder haven’t lost two straight games since April 4-6. The Thunder are 10-2 SU at home in these playoffs. 

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 115.2 points on 45.9 percent shooting and allowing 107 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 30 points and 6.3 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 21.5 points and 5.6 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Alex Caruso is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 34.1 percent from beyond the arc and 80.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 34 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

The Thunder have won each of their last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents after losing as favorites.
The Pacers have lost each of their last seven road games against Northwest Division opponents after winning as underdogs.
The Thunder have covered the spread in eight of their last nine home games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against Western Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

The Pacers have won six of their last seven games as road underdogs after winning as underdogs.
The Pacers have covered the spread in seven of their last eight Sunday games as underdogs.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

Jalen Williams ranks 7th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.6) this season.
Luguentz Dort ranks 26th amongst qualified players for 3P% (41.2%) this season.

Indiana Pacers Player Facts

Ben Sheppard ranks 8th amongst qualified players for assist:turnover ratio (3.9) this season.
Bennedict Mathurin ranks T9th in the league for fast break points (277) this season.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Injury Report

The Thunder will be without Nikola Topic due to a knee injury. 

The Pacers will be without Isaiah Jackson due to an Achilles injury. Jarace Walker is out for a seventh straight game due to an ankle injury. Walker has played 117 minutes in these playoffs, scoring 36 points, grabbing 21 rebounds, and dishing eight assists. 

Tyrese Haliburton is questionable with a calf injury. Haliburton played 23 minutes in game 6, scoring 14 points and dishing five assists. He was moving well. Expect Haliburton to play despite the questionable status.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

Once again, the Thunder are the safer bet given they’re 65-36-4 ATS on the season and have been fantastic in these playoffs at home. The Thunder have also lost two straight games, just once since November. It would surprise nobody if the Thunder takes care of business like they have all year. However, I’ve been on the Pacers throughout this series, and it’s too late to turn back now. I’ve profited nicely, taking the Pacers ML every time as well on these inflated lines.

The Pacers have the more experienced coach, the more explosive offense and have an underrated defense. If the Pacers don’t collapse in game 4, this series is already over. I get the vibes that the Pacers aren’t afraid of the Thunder, and they’ve played stunning ball in these playoffs on the road. I question the inexperience of the Thunder and if those kids are ready for a game 7 of this magnitude. The Pacers are live in this spot like they have been all series. I’ll grab the points for insurance, but I’ll be on the ML personally. 

Thanks for a great season and see you folks again in a few months. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: Indiana Pacers +7.5

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