The Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Monday in the NBA Finals Game 5 at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview 

The Indiana Pacers look for a win to take a 3-2 series lead. The Pacers are 6-2 SU on the road this postseason. The Pacers haven’t lost two straight games since March 10. 

The Indiana Pacers are averaging 115.8 points on 49.2 percent shooting and allowing 113.2 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 20.6 points and 6.2 rebounds, while Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 18.6 points and 5.8 rebounds. Myles Turner is the third double-digit scorer, and Aaron Nesmith is grabbing 5.8 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 39.3 percent from beyond the arc and 79.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 33.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.7 rebounds per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview 

The Oklahoma City Thunder also have a chance to take a 3-2 series lead. The Thunder have won seven of their last eight home games. The Thunder are 2-0 in game 5s this postseason. 

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 116.2 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 106.9 points on 43.4 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 30.4 points and 6.3 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 20.8 points and 5.7 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Alex Caruso is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 34 percent from beyond the arc and 80.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

The Thunder have won 15 of their last 16 games following a road win.

The Pacers have lost Game 5 in each of their last five playoff series’ when tied 2-2.

The Thunder have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.

The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games as road underdogs against Northwest Division opponents following a loss.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

The Pacers have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs following a loss.

The Thunder have lost each of their last three NBA Finals games as favorites following a win.

The Pacers have covered the spread in each of their last six games following a loss.

The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three NBA Finals games as favorites following a win.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

Isaiah Joe ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.3) this season.

Jalen Williams ranks 7th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.6) this season.

Indiana Pacers Player Facts

T.J. McConnell ranks 6th amongst qualified players for assists per 36 minutes (8.9) this season.

Ben Sheppard ranks 8th amongst qualified players for assist:turnover ratio (3.9) this season.

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report 

The Pacers will be without Isaiah Jackson due to an Achilles injury. Jarace Walker is out for a fifth straight game due to an ankle injury. Walker has played 117 minutes in these playoffs, scoring 36 points, grabbing 21 rebounds, and dishing eight assists.

The Thunder will be without Nikola Topic due to a knee injury.

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Part of me believes the Pacers blew this series by losing game 4 that they should’ve won. The Pacers were in control of the game and then fell apart in the final few minutes. OKC probably won’t shoot as poorly as it did in that contest and has new confidence after stealing back home court. With that said, the Pacers are 6-2 SU on the road this postseason. The Pacers are 9-4 SU and ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog. Also, there’s some concern with the Thunder when you consider they’re still playing with lineups and often look like a team that’s not 100 percent sure of itself. When games get tight, it’s often SGA or bust for the Thunder. Outside of the game 4 collapse, the Pacers thrive in pressure situations. I’ll grab the points with the Pacers.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Pacers +9.5