Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction 3/27/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Houston Rockets invade the FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday night. Here’s a Houston Rockets vs. Memphis Grizzlies Prediction. This article will include a Houston Rockets vs. Memphis Grizzlies Pick.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview 

The Houston Rockets have cooled off recently as they’ve dropped four of their last six games overall and they will be hoping to snap a two-game skid after falling just short to the Timberwolves in a 110-108 overtime road defeat on Wednesday. Kevin Durant led the team with 30 points and eight assists; Alperen Şengün added 30 points with six rebounds and four blocks, while Jabari Smith Jr. chipped in with 16 points and 12 rebounds.

As a team, the Rockets shot 41 percent from the field and nine of 29 from the 3-point line as they looked to be in full control after opening the overtime period with a 13-0 run, but that still wasn’t enough to get the job done as the Timberwolves responded with a 15-0 run to snatch the game away in a wild finish.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Memphis Grizzlies have been doing it tough, as they’ve lost 12 of their last 13 games overall and they will be hoping to halt a four-game slide after getting trampled by the Spurs in a 123-98 loss on Wednesday. GG Jackson led the team with 20 points, Olivier-Maxence Prosper added 17 points, and Dejon Jarreau chipped in with 15 points off the bench.

As a team, the Grizzlies shot 40 percent from the field and 16 of 50 from the 3-point line as they struggled to contain the Spurs from the start and got outscored by 38-19 in a nightmare of a first quarter and things only got worse in the third quarter where they leaked 41 points to trail by as many as 39 points at one stage. Taylor Hendricks had a quiet game of just two points on one of seven shots while Cam Spencer scored just one point on zero of six shots. The Grizzlies play the Rockets, Bulls, and Suns next. 

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

• The Rockets have lost seven of their last eight games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents.
• The Grizzlies have won five of their six previous home games on the first leg of a back-to-back against the Rockets.
• The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in four of the Rockets’ last five games.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

• The Grizzlies have lost each of their last eight Friday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Rockets have won eight of their last nine night games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rockets have covered the spread in each of their last five games as favorites against the Grizzlies following a loss.
• The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games at FedExForum against Rockets teams that held a winning record.

Total Points: Facts

• Each of the Rockets’ last eight Friday night games has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Grizzlies’ last five games against Southwest Division opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.

Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts

• Walter Clayton Jr. ranks 24th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for assists per game (3.9) this season.

Houston Rockets Player Facts

• Kevin Durant ranks 9th in the league for second-chance points (201) this season.
• Reed Sheppard is one of only 10 players in the league to have recorded 12+ assists without a turnover in a game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Grizzlies rank 28th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (12.4).
• The Grizzlies are one of only three teams to record four or more wins when trailing by a margin of 10+ points at HT this season.
• The Rockets have suffered the largest comeback loss from an HT lead this season—led by 22 points @ Pelicans on December 18.
• The Rockets rank 1st in the league for Q3 opponent points per game this season (26.7).

Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

The Rockets are still missing Fred VanVleet and Steven Adams, while the Grizzlies have ruled out Ty Jerome, Jaylen Wells, Zach Edey, Ja Morant and Brandon Clarke, to name a few. These teams have already butted heads twice this season, with the Rockets winning on both occasions and it’s hard to picture anything but another win for the Rockets, especially following their stunning overtime defeat to the Timberwolves.

The Rockets open as heavy road favorites and I feel it’s totally warranted given the long list of injuries that has the Grizzlies handicapped. I expect the Rockets to start strong and fly their way to a comfortable win and cover.

Peter Tran's Pick: Houston -12.5