Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns Prediction 4/17/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Golden State Warriors and Phoenix Suns meet Friday in the NBA Play-In at the Mortgage Matchup Center. Here’s a Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns Prediction. This article will include a Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns Pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors look to make the playoffs for the 11th time in the last 14 years. The winner of this series plays the OKC Thunder in the first round. The Warriors have lost 7 of their last 9 games.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 116 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 116.6 points on 48 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 26.6 points and 4.7 assists, while Brandin Podziemski averages 13.8 points and 3.7 assists. De’Anthony Melton is the third double-digit scorer, and Moses Moody is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 80.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game.

Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

The Phoenix Suns look to make the playoffs for the fifth time in the last six years. The Suns have lost 11 of their last 17 games.

The Phoenix Suns are averaging 114 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 112.5 points on 47 percent shooting. Devin Booker is averaging 26.1 points and 3.9 rebounds, while Dillon Brooks is averaging 20.2 points and 3.6 rebounds. Jaylen Green is the third double-digit scorer, and Grayson Allen is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 78.1 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.6 rebounds per game.

Why the Phoenix Suns will win

• The Suns have won each of their last 11 Friday home games.
• The Warriors have lost each of their last seven road games following a win.
• The Suns have covered the spread in each of their last six night games against the Warriors following a home loss.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games following a road win.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The underdogs have won three of the Warriors’ last four games.
• The Suns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in six of the Warriors’ last seven games.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Suns’ last 10 night games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Warriors’ last three night games against the Suns following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Phoenix Suns Player Facts

• Mark Williams ranks 7th amongst qualified players for second-chance points per game (3.3) this season.
• Royce O’Neale ranks 22nd amongst qualified players for 3P% (40.8%) this season.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Kristaps Porzingis is one of only nine qualified Centers in the league shooting at least 80% from the free-throw line this season.
• De’Anthony Melton leads all Warriors players for steals per 36 minutes (2.5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Suns rank 2nd in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (34.7%).
• The Suns rank 2nd in the league for Q3 opponent points per game this season (27.0).
• The Warriors rank 29th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (80.2%).
• The Warriors rank 2nd in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (15.7).

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns Injury Report

Grayson Allen is questionable for the Suns with a hamstring injury.

The Warriors will be without Jimmy Butler, Moses Moody, and Quinten Post.

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

This line is completely stunning if we’re being honest. The Suns have been a mess all month and that includes blowing a double-digit lead Tuesday in the final minutes against the baby Trail Blazers. It’s going to be hard for the Suns to get off the canvas after such a collapse. Allen is also still questionable, which isn’t ideal as it takes another scorer away from a team that has limited go-to guys. The Warriors showed against the Clippers that it’s hard to kill champions and there was a lot to like in the victory.

Yes, the Clippers Clippered, but Curry is back, Draymond is defending with a chip on his shoulder and Porzingis is contributing out of nowhere. Horford is back as well? It’s like everybody who was missing all year for the Warriors came together at the right time. Now you combine all of that championship mettle and face-off against a Suns team that’s been free falling for a while… I don’t believe you’ll need points here. Give me the Warriors ML. I don’t see why the Suns are favored.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Golden State Warriors ML