Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Player Prop Picks 4/30/25 NBA Picks

The Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets are set to face off in Game 5 of their first-round playoff series on Wednesday, April 30, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET at the Toyota Center in Houston. The Warriors currently lead the series 3-1, following a narrow 109-106 victory in Game 4. ​

In Game 4, Jimmy Butler returned from injury to lead the Warriors with 27 points, including clutch free throws in the final minute. Brandin Podziemski contributed 26 points, while Draymond Green’s defensive presence was pivotal in the closing moments.  Despite a strong performance from Fred VanVleet, who scored 25 points with 8-of-12 shooting from three-point range, the Rockets fell short.​

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Jimmy Butler Over 18.5 Points

Jimmy Butler is averaging 17.5 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 5.4 assists per contest. His postseason was impacted by a pelvic contusion sustained during Game 2 of the Warriors’ first-round series against the Houston Rockets. He returned back in game 4, and it’s like he never left. He scored 27 points and was instrumental in the Warriors picking up a massive win. I’m surprised oddsmakers have set his line so low with what we know about Jimmy Butler in the playoffs. 

Steph Curry Over 4.5 Rebounds

Curry is averaging 4.4 rebounds per game. This included approximately 0.6 offensive rebounds and 3.9 defensive rebounds per game, contributing to his overall impact on the court. While rebounding isn’t typically a primary focus for point guards, Curry’s efforts in this area provided valuable support to the Golden State Warriors’ frontcourt. ​We’ve seen Curry secure 5+ rebounds in 7 of his last 10 games. He’s gotten 5+ in 3 of the 4 games in this series. With the amount of playtime Curry gets, it’s inevitable that rebounding opportunities will come his way.

Fred VanVleet Over 13.5 Points

VanVleet is averaging 14.1 points per game, shooting 37.8% from the field and 34.5% from three-point range. VanVleet also posted 3.7 rebounds, 5.6 assists, and 1.6 steals per game while playing 35.2 minutes per contest. His free-throw percentage stood at 81.0%. VanVleet is coming off back-to-back games where he scored 17 and 25 points in Golden State. Now the Rockets return back home, and I expect VanVleet to continue to be a vital part of this offense. He’s one of the only guys on this Houston team who has significant experience in these big playoff games. 

Brad Francis's Pick: See Above