Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 1/14/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Denver Nuggets and Dallas Mavericks meet Wednesday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets beat the Bucks and Pelicans, and they play the Wizards next. The Nuggets have won 4 of their last 5 games.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 122.7 points on 50.2 percent shooting and allowing 117.5 points on 47.2 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.6 points and 12.2 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 25.3 points and 4.7 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer, and Tim Hardaway Jr. is grabbing 2.3 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 40.2 percent from beyond the arc and 81.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.2 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Bulls, beat the Nets, and they play the Jazz next. The Mavs have lost 8 of their last 12 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 113 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 117.2 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 20.4 points and 2.8 assists, while Cooper Flagg is averaging 18.9 points and 6.4 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Naji Marshall is grabbing 4.6 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 33.8 percent from beyond the arc and 75.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 33.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Mavericks have won seven of their last eight home games.
• The Nuggets have lost seven of their last eight games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Mavericks.
• The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Mavericks.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

• The Nuggets have won 11 of their last 12 road games against Southwest Division opponents.
• The Mavericks have lost 12 of their last 14 games against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Nuggets have covered the spread in six of their last seven road games on the second leg of a back-to-back against Western Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Nuggets’ last six night games against Southwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of the Mavericks’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Daniel Gafford ranks 9th amongst qualified players for blocks per 36 minutes (2.3) this season.
• Naji Marshall is one of only 12 players to have scored 30+ points off the bench in a game this season.

Denver Nuggets Player Facts

• Aaron Gordon is one of only seven players in the league to have made 10+ threes in a game this season.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. is one of only 10 players in the league to have made 6+ threes in consecutive games this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mavericks rank 2nd in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (11.7).
• The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (94.1).
• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goal percentage this season (50.2%).
• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for three-point percentage this season (40.2%).

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Injury Report

The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Brandon Williams, Dereck Lively II, Anthony Davis, and Dante Exum. P.J. Washington is questionable.

Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Christian Braun, Jonas Valanciunas, and Tamar Bates are out for the Nuggets.

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

The Nuggets are banged up and on the end of a back to back, but they continue to find ways to win games. We can’t say the same for the Mavericks, who are also injured beyond belief and have failed to cover 7 of their last 9 games. The Mavs have also lost 10 times at home this season. Yes, the Mavericks did beat the Nuggets last month, but I still can’t get there with this squad, especially with all of the injuries. Pick ’em spot, I’m going to side with the more trustworthy team in the Nuggets.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Denver Nuggets -1.5