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Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction 1/29/25 NBA Picks

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New Orleans Pelicans (12-35) vs Dallas Mavericks (25-22)

January 29, 2025 at 08:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: New Orleans Pelicans +2 — Over/Under: 232

(Get latest betting odds)

The Dallas Mavericks and New Orleans Pelicans meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Smoothie King Center. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans Pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Celtics, beat the Wizards, and they play the Pistons, Cavs, and 76ers next. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 115.1 points on 47.7 percent shooting and allowing 112.2 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 28.1 points and 7.8 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 24.4 points and 4.5 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer and Klay Thompson is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 36.8 percent from beyond the arc and 77.4 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.6 rebounds per game.

New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview

The New Orleans Pelicans lost to the Raptors and Hornets, and they play the Celtics, Nuggets, and Kings next. The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 109.2 points on 44.4 percent shooting and allowing 117.8 points on 48.3 percent shooting. Zion Williamson is averaging 22.5 points and 8.5 rebounds, while Brandon Ingram is averaging 22.2 points and 5.6 rebounds. CJ McCollum is the third double-digit scorer and Trey Murphy III is grabbing 5 rebounds. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 76.6 percent from the free throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.

Why the New Orleans Pelicans will win

  • The home team has won seven of the Pelicans’ last eight games.
  • The Mavericks have lost each of their last two games as road favorites following a win.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games following a win.
  • The home team has covered the spread in four of the last five games between the Mavericks and Pelicans.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The Pelicans have lost each of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
  • The favorites have won 12 of the Pelicans’ last 13 games at Smoothie King Center.
  • The Pelicans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last four night games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Pelicans’ last six games against Southwest Division opponents has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Six of the Mavericks’ last seven night games at Smoothie King Center have gone OVER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans Injury Report

The Pelicans will be without Brandon Ingram and Herbert Jones. Dejounte Murray is questionable with a finger injury.

The Mavs will continue to be without Dante Exum, Maxi Kleber, Dwight Powell, Dereck Lively II, and Luka Doncic. Naji Marshall is questionable with an illness.

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction

The Dallas Mavericks are capable of stealing a road game here, as they’ve beaten the Thunder twice this month. I still don’t trust the Mavs given their injury situation, so I’m not going to lay points with them on the road. The New Orleans Pelicans have injury issues of their own, but they’re still healthier than they’ve been all season, and five of their 12 wins on the season have come in the last 19 days. The Pelicans have won three straight home games. There are better options out there, but I see value in getting a free bucket with the healthier team at home. Give me the Pelicans on Wednesday night.

Randy Chambers's Pick: New Orleans Pelicans +2

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