Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Prediction 11/24/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Dallas Mavericks pay a visit to the Miami Heat at the Kaseya Center on Monday night. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview 

The Dallas Mavericks have endured a tough start to the season as they’ve lost 13 of their first 18 games and they will be eager to bounce back here after falling just short to the Grizzlies in a 102-96 loss on Saturday. Klay Thompson drained six 3-pointers to lead the team with 22 points off the bench, Brandon Williams added 18 points on six of 11 shooting while PJ Washington chipped in with 15 points, eight rebounds and four assists.

As a team, the Mavericks shot just 38 percent from the field and 12 of 36 from the 3-point line as they played scrappy defense at the start of the game to take the narrow lead into halftime. However, the Grizzlies went on a 24-11 run in the third quarter to take the lead for the rest of the game. 

Miami Heat Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been a team on the rise as they’ve reeled off seven wins from their last nine games. They will be gunning for a fifth straight victory after beating the 76ers in a 127-117 road win last night. Norman Powell led the team with 32 points on 11 of 18 shooting, Jaime Jacquez Jr added 22 points and seven assists on 10 of 12 shooting off the bench, Kel’el Ware scored 20 points with 16 rebounds while Bam Adebayo tallied 18 points with 13 rebounds.

As a team, the Heat shot 49 percent from the field and 11 of 32 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 37 points in the first quarter to take an early 16-point lead. They were good enough to hold off the 76ers who rallied to cut their lead to just three points.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Mavericks have lost each of their last 12 night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Heat have won nine of their last 10 night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Heat have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games at Kaseya Center.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Mavericks have won five of their last six games as underdogs against Southeast Division opponents.
• The Heat have lost four of their last six games as home favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against Southeast Division opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Mavericks’ last five games against Southeast Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Heat’s last three games as favorites following a road win have gone OVER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Cooper Flagg ranks 2nd amongst qualified rookies for points per game (16.1) this season.
• Daniel Gafford ranks T17th amongst qualified Centers for FT% (77.8%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (14.8).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (31.7%).
• The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for H1 points per game this season (52.6).
• The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for Q2 win percentage this season (22.2%).

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Mavericks are still missing Dereck Lively, Anthony Davis, Kyrie Irving and Dante Exum, while the Heat have ruled out Tyler Herro and Nikola Jovic with Andrew Wiggins listed as day to day. The Mavericks haven’t been able to get anything going this season and their confidence took another gut shot after falling to the slumping Grizzlies in a tough loss on Saturday. In contrast, the Heat have been a steady force so far and they are really starting to gain momentum after winning their fourth straight game last night. The Heat are playing their season game of a back to back set, but I still think they can take advantage of this depleted Mavericks team struggling for form.

Peter Tran's Pick: Miami -8.5