Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction 1/15/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Miami Heat play host to the Boston Celtics at the Kaseya Center on Thursday night. Here’s a Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Pick.

Boston Celtics Betting Preview 

The Boston Celtics have cooled off a bit recently as they’ve dropped three of their past four games overall. They will be hoping to avoid a third straight defeat after falling painfully short to the struggling Pacers in a 98-96 road defeat on Monday. Payton Pritchard led the team with 23 points and eight assists, Anfernee Simons added 16 points off the bench while Derrick White chipped in with 18 points and five assists.

As a team, the Celtics shot 45 percent from the field and nine of 35 from the 3-point line as they kept the Pacers in check in the first half to take the early lead. Before they went cold and scored just 40 points in the second half to allow the Pacers to steal the game on a clutch game winner from Pascal Siakam with just 6.8 seconds left on the clock.

Miami Heat Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been in a rut as they’ve lost four of their last six games overall. But they are now looking to build some momentum after snapping a three-game losing streak with a 127-121 win over the red-hot Suns on Tuesday. Bam Adebayo led the team with 29 points, nine rebounds and four assists on 11 of 15 shooting, Norman Powell added 27 points on 10 of 18 shooting while Tyler Herro tallied 23 points with three assists.

As a team, the Heat shot 52 percent from the field and 13 of 38 from the 3-point line as they jumped all over the Suns from the start and exploded for 71 points in the first half to take a 20-point lead. However, they allowed the Suns to climb all the way back into the contest and they needed to close the final 3:21 on a 19-7 run to secure the narrow win in front of their home fans. 

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Heat have won each of their last four games as home underdogs following a home win.
• The Heat have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games as home underdogs following a win.
• The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games as favorites.

Why the Boston Celtics will win

• The Celtics have won each of their last nine games against Southeast Division opponents after losing as favorites.
• The Heat have lost each of their last eight games at Kaseya Center against Celtics teams that held a winning record.
• The Celtics have covered the spread in each of their last 12 games against Southeast Division opponents following a loss.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against Celtics teams that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Heat’s last eight home games against the Celtics have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the Celtics’ last eight games against Southeast Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Celtics have ruled out Jayson Tatum and Josh Minott, while the Heat have listed Davion Mitchell as doubtful and Jaime Jacquez Jr is ruled as questionable. The Celtics haven’t been at their best lately, and they will be kicking themselves after a heartbreaking loss to the lowly Pacers in their last outing, but they are still in better shape compared to the Heat.

They won the last meeting between these teams by 129-16 back on Dec. 19. The Heat were able to get a much-needed win over the Suns in their last outing, but with Jacquez Jr under an injury cloud, I prefer a play on the Celtics at this short line.

Peter Tran's Pick: Boston -1.5