Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 4/11/25 NBA Picks

Denver Nuggets (48-32) vs Memphis Grizzlies (47-33)

Game Info: Friday, April 11, 2025 at 9:00 pm (Ball Arena)

Betting Odds: Denver Nuggets -7 -- Over/Under: 241 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: Altitude Sports

The Memphis Grizzlies and Washington Mystics meet on Friday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Pick.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview 

The Memphis Grizzlies beat the Hornets, lost to the Timberwolves, and they play the Mavs next. The Grizzlies have lost eight of their last 12 games and are the seventh seed in the West. 

The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 121.7 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 116.8 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Jaren Jackson Jr. is averaging 22.2 points and 5.8 rebounds, while Ja Morant is averaging 23 points and 7.3 assists. Desmond Bane is the third double-digit scorer, and Santi Aldama is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 36.6 percent from beyond the arc and 78.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.4 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview 

The Denver Nuggets lost to the Pacers, beat the Kings, and they play the Rockets next. The Nuggets have lost seven of their last 11 games and are the fourth seed in the West. 

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 120.7 points on 50.6 percent shooting and allowing 117.1 points on 46.8 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.3 points and 12.8 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 21.6 points and 3.8 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer, and Christian Braun is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 37.8 percent from beyond the arc and 76.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 36.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

  • The Grizzlies have lost each of their last 11 games as underdogs.
  • The Nuggets have won 11 of their last 12 games against the Grizzlies at Ball Arena.
  • The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last five games against the Grizzlies at Ball Arena.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

  • The Nuggets have lost four of their last five games as home favorites following a win.
  • The underdogs have won each of the Nuggets' last three games at Ball Arena.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games at Ball Arena against teams that held a winning record.
  • The road team has covered the spread in six of the Grizzlies' last seven games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (32.1).
  • The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goals made per game this season (45.4).
  • The Grizzlies rank 1st in the league for Q3 points per game this season (32.0).
  • The Grizzlies rank 1st in the league for pace this season (103.3).

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report 

The Nuggets will be without DaRon Holmes II, while Jamal Murray is doubtful with a hamstring injury.

The Memphis Grizzlies will be without Brandon Clarke, Jaylen Wells, and Zyon Pullin.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

I gave the Grizzlies a look last night, and they let me down, allowing 141 points to the Timberwolves. It’s going to be hard to get off the canvas and put up an honest effort here. Denver is also a terrible spot playing on the end of a back-to-back, as that altitude isn’t kind. The Nuggets got a nice road win in their first game since firing Mike Malone, and maybe they can build on that moving forward. The Nuggets have won eight of the last 10 games against the Grizzlies and have covered seven of those games. If the Grizzlies were serious about making a push, they would’ve performed better last night. Give me the Nuggets in a comfortable home win.

Randy’s Pick Denver Nuggets -7

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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