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Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks Prediction 4/11/25 NBA Picks

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New York Knicks (50-30) vs Cleveland Cavaliers (63-17)

April 11, 2025 at 07:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: New York Knicks -10.5– Over/Under:

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The Cleveland Cavaliers and the New York Knicks do battle at Madison Square Garden on Friday night. Here’s a Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks Prediction. This article will include a Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks Pick.

Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview

The Cleveland Cavaliers have been in pretty good form as they’ve won seven of their last 10 games overall, but they will be hoping to bounce back here after falling just short to the Pacers in a 114-112 road defeat last night. Ty Jerome led the team with 24 points and six assists, De’Andre Hunter added 23 points with 11 rebounds, while Craig Porter Jr chipped in with 16 points off the bench. As a team, the Cavaliers shot 43 percent from the field and 17 of 37 from the 3-point line as they fought hard to take a five-point lead in the fourth quarter. Only to allow the Pacers to go on a pivotal 13-2 to slip away in the end. To be fair, it was still a great effort from the Cavaliers, who rested almost their entire starting lineup for this one. 

New York Knicks Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the New York Knicks have been in decent form, as they’ve won seven of their last 11 games overall. They will be hoping to snap a two-game skid after getting beaten by the Pistons in a 115-106 road defeat last night. Karl-Anthony Towns led the team with 25 points, 10 rebounds, and five assists, Precious Achiuwa added 18 points with 10 rebounds and three blocks, while Mikal Bridges chipped in with 17 points and seven assists. As a team, the Knicks shot 46 percent from the field and 11 of 34 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 35 points in the first quarter to lead for most of the game. However, they allowed the Pistons to hang around, and it cost them as the Pistons used a pivotal 9-0 run late in the fourth quarter to slip away in the end. 

Why the New York Knicks will win

  • The Knicks have won each of their last seven games at Madison Square Garden following a loss.
  • The Cavaliers have lost each of their last four road games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Knicks have covered the spread in each of their last six games against the Cavaliers following a loss.
  • The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games with both teams on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win


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  • The Cavaliers have won 13 of their last 14 games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Knicks have lost each of their last four games at Madison Square Garden against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Cavaliers have covered the spread in seven of their last eight night games against Atlantic Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Knicks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games on the second leg of a back-to-back against Eastern Conference opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Knicks rank 3rd in the league for opponent steals per game this season (7.1).
  • The Knicks rank T3rd in the league for Q2 win percentage this season (58.8%).
  • The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for Q4 points per game this season (29.9).
  • The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for H2 points per game this season (60.7).

Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks Prediction

The Cavaliers could decide to rest Evan Mobley, Max Strus, Donovan Mitchell, and Darius Garland once again, while the Knicks are keeping eyes on Josh Hart and OG Anunoby once again. This is another game where you should check the lineups before tipoff, as both teams could be missing some key players. With that being said, the Knicks are the team with more to play for, so it’s no surprise to see them as heavy favorites here. But the Cavaliers almost took down a red-hot Pacers team last night, and I think they can at least keep this one to within single digits.

Peter Tran's Pick: Cleveland +10.5


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