Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Prediction 4/5/25 NBA Picks

Miami Heat Betting Preview 

The Miami Heat beat the Celtics, lost to the Grizzlies, and they play the 76ers, Bulls, and Pelicans next. The Heat have won six of their last seven games and are currently the 10th seed in the East. 

The Miami Heat are averaging 109.8 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 109.8 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.9 points and 5.2 rebounds, while Andrew Wiggins is averaging 19.9 points and 4.1 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Terry Rozier is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.6 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Heat have won three of their last four games as home underdogs against the Bucks.
• The Bucks have lost five of their last six night games at Kaseya Center following a road win.
• The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last six games at Kaseya Center.
• The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six road games against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

• The Heat have lost each of their last 11 games as underdogs following a home loss.
• The Bucks have won six of their last seven road games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Bucks have covered the spread in each of their last six games following a road win.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Injury Report 

The Miami Heat will be without Nikola Jovic, Kevin Love, Andrew Wiggins, and Dru Smith. Haywood Highsmith and Tyler Herro are questionable. 

The Milwaukee Bucks will be without Jericho Sims and Damian Lillard.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Bucks have been the better team this season and will have the best player on the floor, but I’m grabbing the bucket with the Heat. The Bucks are still without Lillard, and they’ve been a team that lets you down right when you’re ready to believe. Let’s not forget the Bucks were just down double-digit points in the first quarter to the corpse of the 76ers. The Heat are playing their best ball of the season, with wins in six of their last seven games. The Heat are fighting for seeding as well, and the Bucks are three games below a .500 record on the road. Give me the bucket in a game the Heat can win outright.