Miami Heat (35-41) vs Memphis Grizzlies (44-32)
Game Info: Thursday, April 3, 2025 at 7:30 pm (Kaseya Center)
Betting Odds: Miami Heat +4.5 -- Over/Under: 228.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: TNT
The Miami Heat play host to the Memphis Grizzlies at the Kaseya Center on Thursday night. Here’s a Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat Pick.
Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies have been in a major slump lately, as they've lost seven of their last eight games overall. They will be hoping to snap a four-game slide after getting beaten by the Warriors in a 134-125 home defeat on Tuesday. Ja Morant led the team with 36 points and six assists, Jaren Jackson Jr added 22 points, Desmond Bane scored 19 points with five assists, and Zach Edey chipped in with 10 points, 16 rebounds, and four blocks. As a team, the Grizzlies shot 47 percent from the field and 18 of 44 from the 3-point line as they worked hard to claw their way back from an early 17-point deficit to take the lead late in the game. However, they went cold and got outscored by 18-5 in the final 3:23 to allow the Warriors off the hook.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been in great form as they are now gunning for a seventh-straight victory after blowing past the Celtics in a 124-103 road win last night. Tyler Herro led the team with 25 points and nine assists, Bam Adebayo added 21 points with six assists, while Kyle Anderson chipped in with 19 points off the bench. As a team, the Heat shot 51 percent from the field and 14 of 30 from the 3-point line as they stormed out of the gates and worked hard to take a 14-point lead going into halftime. Before they went on a decisive 11-1 run in the fourth quarter to take a 22-point lead and put the game to bed early. The Heat will play against the Bucks following this one.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Heat have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Grizzlies.
- The Grizzlies have lost each of their last four games.
- The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last eight games following a win.
- The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents.
Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win
- The Grizzlies have won each of their last eight games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Heat have lost nine of their last 10 night games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Grizzlies have covered the spread in 10 of their last 12 night games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six home games against Grizzlies teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Grizzlies' last five games at Kaseya Center following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of the Heat's last seven games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat Prediction
The Grizzlies are still playing without Brandon Clarke and Vince Williams Jr, while the Heat have ruled out Duncan Robinson and Kevin Love once again. The Grizzlies are as healthy as they've been all season, so it's hard to point a finger at why they've been struggling so much lately. In contrast, the Heat are still banged up, but they have sprung to life with six impressive wins in a row and are coming into this one fresh off an upset win over the red-hot Celtics. I get why the Grizzlies are slight favorites on the road, but the Heat are the team playing the better basketball at the moment, and I think they can pull off another upset at home in this one.
Peter’s Pick Miami +4.5
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
AUTHOR: Peter Tran
