Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 3/27/25 NBA Picks

Oklahoma City Thunder (60-12) vs Memphis Grizzlies (44-28)

Game Info: Thursday, March 27, 2025 at 8:00 pm (Paycom Center)

Betting Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder -10.5 -- Over/Under: 238.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: FanDuel SN OK

The Memphis Grizzlies and the Oklahoma City Thunder meet on Thursday in NBA action at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies lost to the Clippers, beat the Jazz, and they play the Lakers, Celtics, and Warriors next. The Grizzlies have lost four of their last six games and have dropped to the fifth seed in the West. 

The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 122.1 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 116.9 points on 45.7 percent shooting. Jaren Jackson Jr. is averaging 22.4 points and 5.7 rebounds, while Ja Morant is averaging 22.3 points and 7.4 assists. Desmond Bane is the third double-digit scorer, and Santi Aldama is grabbing 6.6 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 36.6 percent from beyond the arc and 78.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.4 rebounds per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview 

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Kings and Clippers, and then play the Pacers, Bulls, and Pistons next. The Thunder have won 14 of their last 15 games and have the best record in the NBA. 

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 119.8 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 106.9 points on 43.5 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.8 points and 6.3 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 21.3 points and 5.5 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Isaiah Hartenstein is grabbing 11.1 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 82.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

  • The Thunder have won 14 of their last 15 games.
  • The Grizzlies have lost 12 of their last 13 road games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
  • The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last 10 games at Paycom Center against Grizzlies teams that held a winning record.
  • The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games as underdogs against Northwest Division opponents following a win.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

  • The road team has won three of the last four games between the Grizzlies and Thunder.
  • The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games at Paycom Center against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Grizzlies' last eight games as road underdogs following a road win have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Seven of the Thunder's last eight night games at Paycom Center following a road win have gone OVER the total points line.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report 

The Thunder will be without Alex Ducas, Jalen Williams, Ousmane Dieng, and Nikola Topic. Cason Wallace is questionable.

The Memphis Grizzlies will be without Marvin Bagley III, Lamar Stevens, Brandon Clarke, Ja Morant, and Zyon Pullin.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

The Grizzlies are still a banged-up team that’s hard to trust without their best player. The Thunder have won eight straight games against the Grizzlies and are 7-1 ATS in those eight wins. The Thunder are also the best cover team in the NBA with a cover percentage of 69.1 percent. The Thunder are 9-1 SU and ATS in their last 10 games. It's a thick line, but everything is pointing toward another comfortable win for the Thunder over the Grizzlies. I’ll lay the points with the Thunder at home.

Randy’s Pick Oklahoma City Thunder -10.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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