Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction 3/27/25 NBA Picks

Miami Heat (31-41) vs Atlanta Hawks (35-37)

Game Info: Thursday, March 27, 2025 at 7:30 pm (Kaseya Center)

Betting Odds: Miami Heat -1.5 -- Over/Under: 227.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: FanDuel SN Sun

The Atlanta Hawks pay a visit to the Miami Heat at the Kaseya Center on Thursday night. Here’s an Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include an Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Pick.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

The Atlanta Hawks have been in great shape, as they've won seven of their last 10 games overall. They will be hoping to bounce back here after having their three-game win streak snapped by the Rockets in a tough 121-114 road defeat on Tuesday. Trae Young steered the offense with 19 points and 12 assists, Dyson Daniels added 19 points with eight rebounds, 10 assists, and four steals while Zaccharie Risacher chipped in with 18 points. As a team, the Hawks shot just 41 percent from the field and 15 of 49 from the 3-point line as they struggled from the tipoff and quickly found themselves trailing by as many as 25 points. Before they rallied with 40 points in the fourth quarter to cut the deficit to just four points with 14.1 seconds remaining. 

Miami Heat Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat look like they have moved on from their ugly 10-game losing streak as they are now gunning for a third-straight victory after routing the Warriors in an impressive 112-86 home win on Tuesday. Bam Adebayo led the team with 27 points and eight rebounds on nine of 18 shooting, Tyler Herro added 20 points with seven assists, while Kel'el Ware chipped in with 14 points and 10 rebounds. As a team, the Heat shot a healthy 55 percent from the field and a sizzling 17 of 25 from the 3-point line as they dominated from the start and always looked in control after taking a 57-40 lead going into halftime. It was a real balanced scoring effort from the Heat as they had six players finishing in double figures in scoring as they rallied in their first game against their former teammate, Jimmy Butler. The Heat will meet the 76ers and Wizards after this game.

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Heat have won each of their last six home games against Southeast Division opponents after winning as underdogs.
  • The Hawks have lost nine of their last 11 games at Kaseya Center.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
  • The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

  • The Heat have lost six of their last seven games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
  • The Hawks have won four of their last six games as road underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine Thursday games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Hawks have covered the spread in six of their last seven games as road underdogs.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of the Hawks' last eight night games at Kaseya Center following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Five of the Heat's last six night games against the Hawks following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Hawks are still missing a bunch of players with Jalen Johnson, Clint Capela, and Larry Nance Jr all out, while the Heat are still keeping eyes on Alec Burks and Duncan Robinson, who are both questionable. These teams have already met three times this season, with the Hawks leading the series by 2-1, so I am not surprised to see the line so short. The Hawks come into this meeting as the team in better form overall, but the Heat looked like a completely different team in their dominant win over the Warriors on Tuesday. I get why the Heat are slight favorites at home, but I just don't think we will see a bit of a letdown performance from the Heat after their emotional grudge victory on Tuesday. With that being said, I will lean towards the Hawks to get the win behind a big game from Young.

Peter’s Pick Atlanta +1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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