Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction 3/19/25 NBA Picks

Indiana Pacers (38-29) vs Dallas Mavericks (33-36)

Game Info: Wednesday, March 19, 2025 at 7:00 pm (Gainbridge Fieldhouse)

Betting Odds: Indiana Pacers -9.5 -- Over/Under: 234.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: KFAA-TV

The Dallas Mavericks pay a visit to the Indiana Pacers at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Wednesday night. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers Pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks have been in a real slump as they've lost 10 of their last 12 games overall, and they will be hoping to avoid a fourth straight defeat after getting beaten by the 76ers in a 130-125 loss on Sunday. PJ Washington led the team with 29 points, 12 rebounds and two assists on 11 of 17 shooting, Naji Marshall and Klay Thompson scored 21 points each while Spencer Dinwiddie and Max Christie each scored 18 points. As a team, the Mavericks shot 52 percent from the field and 10 of 34 from the 3-point line as they poured in 68 points in the first half to take the early lead. However, their hard work went to waste in the third quarter, where they got outscored by 34-18 to trail by as many as 14 points. 

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Indiana Pacers have been in decent form, as they've won three of their past four games overall. They will be eager to keep it going after taking down the Timberwolves in a thrilling 132-130 overtime road win on Monday. Obi Toppin led the team with 34 points, 10 rebounds and two assists on 12 of 19 shooting, Bennedict Mathurin added 22 points while Jarace Walker chipped in with 13 points. As a team, the Pacers shot 49 percent from the field and 17 of 37 from the 3-point line as they squandered a 15-point lead in regulation. They made up for it in overtime when Tobbin made the game-winning 3-pointer at the buzzer to carry the Pacers over the line. 
 

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

  • The Mavericks have lost each of their last 13 night games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The favorites have won 17 of the Pacers' last 18 games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Pacers have covered the spread in each of their last five night games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse after coming off overtime.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the last three games between the Mavericks and Pacers.
  • The Pacers have lost four of their last six games as home favorites following an overtime win.
  • The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in nine of their last 11 games against Eastern Conference opponents after losing as favorites.

Total Points Facts

  • Ten of the Pacers' last 11 home games following an overtime win have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Mavericks' last five games has gone OVER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

The Mavericks are still missing a host of players including Anthony Davis, Kyrie Irving, and Caleb Martin, while the Pacers are keeping an eye on Tyrese Haliburton, Pascal Siakam, and Jarace Walker who are all questionable. The Mavericks are just so banged up at the moment that it's hard to back them with any confidence, especially after they got beaten by the ice-cold 76ers in their last outing. In contrast, the Pacers are coming into this meeting with plenty of momentum, and they must be full of confidence after beating the Timberwolves in overtime to snap their eight-game win streak. The line was always going to be hefty for this matchup, but it still isn't high enough to sway me from backing the Pacers to win this one by double digits at home.

Peter’s Pick Indiana -9.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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