Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction 3/10/25 NBA Picks

San Antonio Spurs (26-36) vs Dallas Mavericks (32-33)

Game Info: Monday, March 10, 2025 at 8:30 pm (Frost Bank Center)

Betting Odds: San Antonio Spurs -6.5 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: KENS 5

The Dallas Mavericks and San Antonio Spurs meet Monday in NBA action at the Frost Bank Center. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview 

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Suns and Grizzlies, and they play the Rockets, 76ers, and Pacers next. The Mavs have lost seven of their last eight games, and they’ve lost five straight games overall. 

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 114.5 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 114.3 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 26 points and 7 assists, while Kai Jones is averaging 21 points and 8 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer and Klay Thompson is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 77.5 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.6 rebounds per game.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview 

The San Antonio Spurs lost to the Kings and Timberwolves, and then play the Hornets, Pelicans, and Lakers next. The Spurs have lost seven of their last nine games and are 4.5 games out of a play-in spot. 

The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 113.4 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 115.8 points on 46.9 percent shooting. De’Aaron Fox is averaging 19.1 points and 4.1 rebounds, while Devin Vassell is averaging 15.7 points and 2.9 assists. Stephon Castle is the third double-digit scorer and Keldon Johnson is dishing 1.5 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc and 77.5 percent from the free-throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.2 rebounds per game.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

  • The Spurs have won eight of their last nine home games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Mavericks.
  • The Mavericks have lost each of their last five games.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games.
  • The Spurs have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games following a road loss.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The Mavericks have won each of their last 11 night games against Spurs teams that held a losing record.
  • The Spurs have lost each of their last nine night games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games at Frost Bank Center against Mavericks teams that held a losing record.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last six games as road underdogs against the Spurs.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Spurs rank 29th in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (93.3).
  • The Spurs have missed the playoffs in five consecutive seasons - the equal-second-longest active streak in the NBA
  • The Mavericks rank 4th in the league for Q4 win percentage this season (56.9%).
  • The Dallas Mavericks are one of only four teams to win a road game against the Thunder this season.

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Injury Report 

The San Antonio Spurs will be without Riley Minix, Victor Wembanyama, and Charles Bassey.

The Mavs will be without Dereck Lively II, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Kai Jones, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Anthony Davis, Jaden Hardy, and PJ Washington. Dante Exum and Caleb Martin are questionable.

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction

I have zero interest in this game if we’re being completely honest, but we’re here and somebody has to win. I’d grab the points with the Mavs if forced to pick. Yes, the Mavericks are riddled with injuries like nothing we’ve seen before, so the Spurs should win this game at home. However, the Spurs also shouldn’t be 10 games below a .500 record. The Spurs are 3-7 SU and ATS in their last 10 games. I don’t want to back the Mavs as much as the next guy, but laying this many points with the Spurs in their current form doesn’t sound any better. There are better options out there on Monday, but I’m on the Mavs if forced to pick.

Randy’s Pick Dallas Mavericks +6.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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