Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction 3/5/25 NBA Picks

Memphis Grizzlies (38-23) vs Oklahoma City Thunder (50-11)

Game Info: Wednesday, March 5, 2025 at 9:30 pm (FedExForum)

Betting Odds: Memphis Grizzlies +8.5 -- Over/Under: 250 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: ESPN

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Memphis Grizzlies meet Wednesday in NBA action at the FedExForum. Here’s an Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction. This article will include an Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview 

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Spurs and Rockets, and they play the Trail Blazers, Nuggets, and Celtics next. The Thunder are 13-2 in their last 15 games and are a game behind the Cavs for the best record in the NBA. 

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 119.7 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 107 points on 43.6 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.5 points and 6.2 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 21.4 points and 5.5 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer and Isaiah Hartenstein is grabbing 11.2 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 36.6 percent from beyond the arc and 82.4 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 33.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview 

The Memphis Grizzlies lost to the Hawks and Spurs, and they play the Mavs, Pelicans, and Suns next. The Grizzlies are 3-7 in their last 10 games and have dropped to the fourth seed in the West. 

The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 123.3 points on 48.4 percent shooting and allowing 117 points on 45.6 percent shooting. Jaren Jackson Jr. is averaging 22.7 points and 5.8 rebounds, while Ja Morant is averaging 20.9 points and 7.4 assists. Desmond Bane is the third double-digit scorer and Santi Aldama is grabbing 6.7 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 36.8 percent from beyond the arc and 77.8 percent from the free throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 35.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

  • The Grizzlies have won six of their last seven games as underdogs after losing as favorites.
  • The Thunder have lost three of their last four road games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Grizzlies have covered the spread in each of their last six games as home underdogs after losing as favorites.
  • The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

  • The Thunder have won each of their last six night games against the Grizzlies.
  • The Grizzlies have lost 14 of their last 16 night games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games.
  • The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last four games against Grizzlies teams that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Grizzlies rank 1st in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (93.4).
  • The Grizzlies rank 1st in the league for Q1 points per game this season (31.6).
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent steals per game this season (6.6).
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for turnovers per game this season (11.9).

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Injury Report 

The Memphis Grizzlies will be without Jaren Jackson Jr., Zyon Pullin, and Yuki Zawamura. Ja Morant, Santi Aldama, John Konchar, and Scotty Pippen Jr. are questionable for the Grizzlies.

The Thunder will be without Nikola Topic, Ajay Mitchell, and Alex Caruso. Isaiah Joe is questionable with a back injury.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

It’s hard to bet against the Thunder not only because they win games but their cover percentage of 64.9 percent is second-best in the NBA. Only the Cavs cash more tickets than OKC. It’s even harder in this spot knowing the Thunder have won seven straight games against the Grizzlies and have covered six of those wins. The Thunder smoked the Grizzlies on the road about a month ago, getting whatever they wanted offensively as they scored 125 points. The Grizzlies have been rough these last couple of weeks and they’re dealing with oodles of injuries. The Grizzlies are also 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games. I have no choice but to lay the number with the Thunder on the road. 

Randy’s Pick Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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