Miami Heat (26-30) vs Atlanta Hawks (27-31)
Game Info: Wednesday, February 26, 2025 at 7:30 pm (Kaseya Center)
Betting Odds: Miami Heat -2 -- Over/Under: 229 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: FanDuel SN Sun
The Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s an Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include an Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Pick.
Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview
The Atlanta Hawks lost to the Pistons, beat the Heat, and then play the Thunder, Grizzlies, and Bucks next. The Hawks can create more separation from the Heat for the eighth seed with another win here.
The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 116.7 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 119 points on 48 percent shooting. Trae Young is averaging 24 points and 3.1 rebounds, while Dyson Daniels is averaging 13.9 points and 5.5 rebounds. Onyeka Okongwu is the third double-digit scorer, and Zaccharie Risacher is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc and 76.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 36.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.1 rebounds per game.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat lost to the Bucks and Hawks, and they play the Pacers, Knicks, and Wizards next. The Heat have lost six of their seven games since trading Jimmy Butler to the Warriors. The Heat are 6-13 since January 13.
The Miami Heat are averaging 109.7 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 110.7 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 24 points and 5.5 rebounds, while Andrew Wiggins is averaging 18.4 points and 5.4 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rosier is grabbing 4 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Heat have won 27 of their last 31 home games against Southeast Division opponents.
- The Hawks have lost 12 of their last 15 games at Kaseya Center.
- The Heat have covered the spread in five of their last six games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
- The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine Wednesday games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Atlanta Hawks will win
- The Hawks have won each of their last five road games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Heat have lost three of their last four games as home favorites.
- The Hawks have covered the spread in each of their last five road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven night games at Kaseya Center.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Heat rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (18.1).
- The Heat are one of only two teams to lose a game when leading by 20+ points at HT this season.
- The Hawks rank T1st in the league for Q4 win percentage this season (62.1%).
- The Hawks rank 2nd in the league for assists per game this season (29.3).
Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Injury Report
The Miami Heat will be without Nikola Jovic and Dru Smith. Bam Adebayo is questionable with a calf injury.
The Hawks won’t have Jalen Johnson, Kobe Bufkin, Larry Nance Jr., and Vit Krejci.
Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction
The Heat are getting the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home but we just saw the Hawks beat them a couple of days ago. The Heat continue to come up short offensively and they’re off a game against the Hawks where they scored 86 points. The Heat have scored less than 90 points in three of their last seven games. Do you know how hard it is to score less than 90 points in 2025? It’s impressive actually. The Hawks have issues of their own but I have no interest in betting real dollars on the Heat right now.
Randy’s Pick Atlanta Hawks -2
AUTHOR: Randy Chambers
