Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 2/5/25 NBA Picks

Oklahoma City Thunder (39-9) vs Phoenix Suns (25-24)

Game Info: Wednesday, February 5, 2025 at 9:30 pm (Paycom Center)

Betting Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder -12 -- Over/Under: 226.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: ESPN

The Phoenix Suns and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick.

Phoenix Suns Betting Preview 

The Phoenix Suns beat the Warriors, lost to the Trail Blazers, and they play the Jazz, Nuggets, and Grizzlies next. The Phoenix Suns are averaging 113 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 113.8 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 26.9 points and 6.1 rebounds, while Devin Booker is averaging 25.9 points and 4 rebounds. Bradley Beal is the third double-digit scorer and Tyus Jones is grabbing 2.4 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 37.8 percent from beyond the arc and 79.8 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.5 rebounds per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview 

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Kings and Bucks, and they play the Raptors, Grizzlies, and Pelicans next. The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 117 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 104.7 points on 43.1 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.4 points and 6 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 21.1 points and 5.6 rebounds. Isaiah Hartenstein is the third double-digit scorer and Luguentz Dort is grabbing 4.4 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 82.3 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 32.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

  • The Suns have lost each of their last 12 games at Paycom Center against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
  • The Thunder have won each of their last 10 games against the Suns at Paycom Center following a win.
  • The Suns have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
  • The Thunder have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games at Paycom Center against teams that held a winning record.

Why the Phoenix Suns will win

  • The Thunder have lost each of their last two games as favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
  • The Suns have won five of their last six games following a loss.
  • The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
  • The underdogs have covered the spread in five of the Suns' last six games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for steals per game this season (11.1).
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent steals per game this season (6.8).
  • The Suns rank 28th in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (12.7).
  • The Suns rank 28th in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (85.4).

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report 

The Thunder will be without Nikola Topic, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, and Ajay Mitchell. Jalen Williams is questionable with a wrist injury.

Kevin Durant is doubtful for the Phoenix Suns due to an ankle injury.

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

The Phoenix Suns have lost three of their last four games, which includes losing back-to-back games to the Trail Blazers. Now the Suns likely won't have Durant and there's a decent chance he's traded either today or tomorrow. The Suns can't be feeling great at the moment. The Oklahoma City Thunder have 39 wins, they're 21-3 SU at home, and their 68.8 percent cover percentage is the best in the NBA. The Suns have also covered 11 of their last 16 games as a double-digit favorite. There's just no reason to bet against the Thunder in this spot, even if the line is thick. Give me OKC at home on Wednesday night.

Randy’s Pick Oklahoma City Thunder -12

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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