Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction 2/1/25 NBA Picks

San Antonio Spurs (21-24) vs Miami Heat (23-23)

Game Info: Saturday, February 1, 2025 at 8:30 pm (Frost Bank Center)

Betting Odds: San Antonio Spurs -1 -- Over/Under: 223.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: NBA League Pass

The Miami Heat and San Antonio Spurs meet Saturday in NBA action at the Frost Bank Center. Here’s a Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview 

The Miami Heat beat the Magic, lost to the Cavs, and they play the Bulls, 76ers, and Nets next. The Miami Heat are averaging 110.7 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 110.2 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 24 points and 5.5 rebounds, while Jimmy Butler is averaging 17 points and 5.2 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 4.2 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 79.5 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.9 rebounds per game.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview 

The San Antonio Spurs lost to the Clippers, beat the Bucks, and then play the Grizzlies, Hawks, and Hornets next. The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 112.1 points on 45.9 percent shooting and allowing 113.8 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 24.4 points and 10.8 rebounds, while Devin Vassell is averaging 16.3 points and 3.1 assists. Jeremy Sochan is the third double-digit scorer and Keldon Johnson is dishing 1.4 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 34.7 percent from beyond the arc and 78.8 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.3 rebounds per game.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

  • The Heat have lost each of their six previous night games at Frost Bank Center following a home loss.
  • The Spurs have won seven of their last eight games against the Heat following a home win.
  • The Spurs have covered the spread in seven of their last eight night games against the Heat following a home win.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four night games against Western Conference opponents.

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Heat have won each of their last eight road games against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Spurs have lost 27 of their last 31 night games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as underdogs against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games after winning as underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Spurs rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (14.3).
  • The Spurs have missed the playoffs in five consecutive seasons - the equal-second-longest active streak in the NBA
  • The Heat rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (18.1).
  • The Heat are one of only two teams to lose a game when leading by 20+ points at HT this season.

Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs Injury Report 

The San Antonio Spurs will be without Riley Minix due to a shoulder injury.

The Miami Heat will be without Josh Richardson and Dru Smith. Jimmy Butler remains suspended.

Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction

The Spurs are favored because they're at home, but this is a weird spot. The Spurs played last night and are coming off an emotional win over the Bucks that ended with Antetokounmpo and Chris Paul having words. The Heat not only have the rest advantage, but they smoked the Spurs by 21 points a couple of weeks ago. The Heat shot 53 percent from the field and 55 percent from three. I wouldn't expect those shooting numbers to repeat here, but it's enough to consider grabbing the points here. Also, the Heat have won eight of the last nine games against the Spurs overall. The Spurs haven't won back-to-back games since December 31-January 3. Give me the Heat and the free bucket.

Randy’s Pick Miami Heat +1

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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