Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Prediction 1/29/25 NBA Picks

Miami Heat (23-22) vs Cleveland Cavaliers (37-9)

Game Info: Wednesday, January 29, 2025 at 7:30 pm (Kaseya Center)

Betting Odds: Miami Heat +7.5 -- Over/Under: 227 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: NBA League Pass

The Cleveland Cavaliers invade the Kaseya Center to battle the Miami Heat on Wednesday night. Here’s a Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Pick.

Cleveland Cavaliers 

The Cleveland Cavaliers have cooled off a bit recently as they've lost five of their last nine games overall, but they will be eager to build some momentum after blowing past the Pistons in a 110-91 home win on Monday. Darius Garland led the team with 22 points and seven assists, Donovan Mitchell added 21 points with six assists, Jarrett Allen scored 15 points with 11 rebounds and four assists while Evan Mobley chipped in with 11 points, 14 rebounds, and two blocks. As a team, the Cavaliers shot 44 percent from the field and 12 of 44 from the 3-point line, but this win was set up by their effort on defense as the Pistons were kept under check from the start till the end. The only minor blemish from the win was Georges Niang who shot just one of nine to finish with just three points off the bench. 

Miami Heat 

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been doing it tough as they've lost five of their last nine games overall, but they will be aiming for a third straight win after sneaking past the Magic in a 125-119 double-overtime win on Monday. Tyler Herro led the team with 30 points, eight rebounds, and 12 assists, Bam Adebayo added 26 points with 10 rebounds and nine assists while Kel'el Ware chipped in with 19 points and 10 rebounds on seven of eight shooting. As a team, the Heat shot 52 percent from the field and 15 of 41 from the 3-point line as they clawed their way back from a 14-point deficit to send the game into a second overtime period where they restricted the Magic to just three points to get the much-needed win. The Heat will play against the Spurs and Bulls following this one.

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Cavaliers have lost 24 of their last 27 games at Kaseya Center.
  • The underdogs have won three of the Cavaliers' last four games.
  • The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five road games against Southeast Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in five of their last six night games against the Cavaliers.

Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win

  • The Heat have lost five of their last six games against Central Division opponents.
  • The Cavaliers have won 23 of their last 28 night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Cavaliers have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games as favorites on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games against Central Division opponents following a win.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Heat's last seven games at Kaseya Center has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Cavaliers' last five games against the Heat following a home win has gone UNDER the total points line.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Cavaliers are still missing Isaac Okoro and Caris LeVert, while the Heat are still playing without Josh Richardson and the suspended Jimmy Butler. The Cavaliers have been a little banged up lately which is why they've cooled off a bit, while the Heat were really struggling before their thrilling double-overtime win over the Magic on Monday. The Heat beat the Cavaliers by 122-113 back on Dec 8, but I can't see the same thing happening this time around. The Cavaliers have been a little below their best lately, but they're still miles better than the Cavaliers who are dealing with so much drama at the moment. The line is reasonable for this one, so I will go with the Cavaliers to return to form with a solid win and cover behind a big game from Mitchell.

Peter’s Pick Cleveland -7.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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