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Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 1/23/25 NBA Picks

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Denver Nuggets (27-16) vs Sacramento Kings (23-20)

January 23, 2025 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Denver Nuggets -7.5 — Over/Under: 240

(Get latest betting odds)

The Sacramento Kings and Denver Nuggets meet Thursday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Pick.

Sacramento Kings Betting Preview

The Sacramento Kings beat the Warriors and Wizards, and they play the Knicks, Nets, and 76ers next. The Sacramento Kings are averaging 116.7 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 113.9 points on 46.3 percent shooting. De’Aaron Fox is averaging 25.9 points and 5.2 rebounds, while DeMar DeRozan is averaging 21.5 points and 3.8 rebounds. Domantas Sabonis is the third double-digit scorer and Malik Monk is grabbing 3.6 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc and 80.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 37.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets beat the 76ers and Magic, and they play the Timberwolves, Bulls, and Knicks next. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 120.1 points on 50.1 percent shooting and allowing 115.6 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 30.1 points and 13.2 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 20.1 points and 3.9 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Gordon is grabbing 5.5 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38.3 percent from beyond the arc and 76.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.6 rebounds per game.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

  • The Nuggets have won each of their last 13 games against the Kings at Ball Arena following the win.
  • The Kings have lost 26 of their last 31 road games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Kings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 13 Thursday night games.
  • The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as favorites.

Why the Sacramento Kings will win

  • The Kings have won each of their last seven games following a home win.
  • The Nuggets have lost four of their last five night games against Kings teams that held a winning record.
  • The Kings have covered the spread in five of their last six games as underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games when playing with a rest advantage.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goal percentage this season (50.4%).
  • The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (30.9).
  • The Kings rank 3rd in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (9.8).
  • The Kings rank 28th in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (14.5).

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report

The Nuggets will be without DaRon Holmes II and Vlatko Cancar.

The Kings don’t have any player listed on their injury report.

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

The Sacramento Kings are worth a look in the underdog role, considering they’ve won nine of their last 10 games. The problem is, Denver is the worst place to play on the end of a back-to-back, as guys are already tired and now have to deal with the altitude. The Denver Nuggets have the rest advantage, and they’re 8-2 SU and ATS in their last 10 games. This has the potential to be a good game, but I’m leaning on the Nuggets’ current form, the rest advantage, and home court to be the deciding factors. I like the Nuggets to pull away in the fourth quarter, the way they typically do. Give me the Nuggets and the somewhat reasonable number.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Denver Nuggets -7.5

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