Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 1/23/25 NBA Picks

Oklahoma City Thunder (35-7) vs Dallas Mavericks (23-20)

Game Info: Thursday, January 23, 2025 at 8:00 pm (Paycom Center)

Betting Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder -12.5 -- Over/Under: 218.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: NBA League Pass

The Dallas Mavericks invade the Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday night. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick.

Dallas Mavericks 

The Dallas Mavericks have been in terrible form as they've lost 10 of their last 13 games overall and they will be hoping to avoid a third straight defeat after last night's 115-114 loss to the Timberwolves. Kyrie Irving led the team with 36 points and nine assists, PJ Washington added 30 points on 12 of 22 shooting while Daniel Gafford chipped in with 14 points, 12 rebounds, and three blocks. As a team, the Mavericks shot 50 percent from the field and eight of 29 from the 3-point line. The Mavs struggled for most of the game to trail by 12 points early in the fourth quarter before they rallied late to cut the deficit to just one point before the clock expired. Spencer Dinwiddie had a rough game as he shot just four of 13 to finish with just nine points while Quentin Grimes shot just two of seven to finish with just five points in 36 minutes of action. The Mavs will meet the Celtics after this game.

Oklahoma City Thunder 

Meanwhile, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been on a tear as they've reeled off 16 of their last 18 games overall and they will be eager to stay hot after taking down the Jazz in a 123-114 home win last night. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 54 points, eight rebounds, and five assists on 17 of 35 shooting, Jalen Williams added 25 points on nine of 18 shooting while Cason Wallace chipped in with 13 points off the bench. As a team, the Thunder shot 46 percent from the field and 12 of 39 from the 3-point line. The Thunder got off to a solid start, but the scores were actually tied midway through the fourth quarter before the Thunder went on a pivotal 11-0 run to pull away in the end. The Thunder will face the Trail Blazers following this one.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

  • The Thunder have won each of their last 11 night games at Paycom Center.
  • The Mavericks have lost nine of their last 10 games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Thunder.
  • The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last six home games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five road games against Western Conference opponents.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The Mavericks have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Thunder.
  • The Thunder have lost three of their last four games against Mavericks teams that held a winning record.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in 14 of their last 16 road games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Mavericks.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of the Mavericks' last eight games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Seven of the Thunder's last eight home games with both teams on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

The Mavericks are still missing a bunch of players including Luka Doncic, Dereck Lively, Klay Thompson, and Naji Marshall, while the Thunder are still missing Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein. The Mavericks haven't been able to keep their heads above water with their rising injury toll and they will be kicking themselves after falling painfully short to the Timberwolves last night. The Thunder were blowing away teams with ease before last night's gritty win over the lowly Jazz. The Thunder were far from convincing in last night's win, but I think they come out stronger and take care of business against the Mavericks at home.

Peter’s Pick Oklahoma City -12.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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