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Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Prediction 1/21/25 NBA Picks

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Miami Heat (21-20) vs Portland Trail Blazers (14-28)

January 21, 2025 at 07:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Heat -11.5 — Over/Under: 220

(Get latest betting odds)

The Portland Trail Blazers and the Miami Heat collide at the Kaseya Center on Tuesday night. Here’s a Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Pick.

Portland Trail Blazers 

The Portland Trail Blazers have been in poor form as they’ve lost eight of their last 11 games overall, but they will be feeling much better after arresting a five-game slide with a 113-102 win over the Bulls on Sunday. Scoot Henderson led the team with 25 points, seven rebounds, and eight assists, Shaedon Sharpe added 23 points off the bench, Deni Avdija added 20 points with 12 rebounds, while Jerami Grant chipped in with 18 points. As a team, the Trail Blazers shot 47 percent from the field and nine of 31 from the 3-point line. The Trail Blazers dominated the second quarter by 31-19 to overcome an early 15-point deficit, before they poured in 34 points in the third quarter to take a 15-point lead and earn the much-needed win at home. The Blazers will take on the Magic after this game.

Miami Heat 

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat were struggling for a while as they were riding a three-game skid before they snapped out of it with a 128-107 win over the Spurs on Sunday. Kel’el Ware led the team with 25 points on 10 of 19 shooting, Duncan Robinson added 21 points on eight of 12 shooting, Terry Rozier added 20 points, while Tyler Herro chipped in with 18 points and seven assists. As a team, the Heat shot 52 percent from the field and 18 of 33 from the 3-point line as they took control of the contest with a 26-11 second quarter. The Heat exploded for 46 points in the third quarter to push the lead out to 27 points at one stage. The Heat will play against the Bucks and Nets following this one.

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Trail Blazers have lost each of their last eight road games following a win.
  • The Heat have won seven of their last eight night games against the Trail Blazers.
  • The Trail Blazers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six night games against Heat teams that held a winning record.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in seven of their last eight night games against the Trail Blazers.

Why the Portland Trail Blazers will win

  • The Trail Blazers have won each of their five previous road games against the Heat following a home win.
  • The Heat have lost each of their last four home games against Northwest Division opponents following a win.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six home games against Northwest Division opponents following a win.
  • The Trail Blazers have covered the spread in each of their last five road games against Southeast Division opponents after winning as underdogs.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Heat’s last five home games has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Trail Blazers’ last four night games against Southeast Division opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.

Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Trail Blazers could be shorthanded again with Robert Williams and Anfernee Simons both listed as questionable, while the Heat are still without Josh Richardson. The Trail Blazers were one of the coldest teams in the league before they took down the Bulls in a solid win on Sunday, while the Heat were struggling a bit before their dominant win over the Spurs on Sunday. These teams last met on Jan. 11, and it was the Heat who romped to a 119-98 win on the road thanks to 32 points from Tyler Herro. It’s hard to back the Trail Blazers who have been so inconsistent this season, but we’re getting so many free points, so I am backing the Trail Blazers to keep this one to single digits in the end. 

Peter Tran's Pick: Portland +11.5

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