San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat Prediction 1/19/25 NBA Picks

Miami Heat (20-20) vs San Antonio Spurs (19-21)

Game Info: Sunday, January 19, 2025 at 3:00 pm (Kaseya Center)

Betting Odds: Miami Heat -2.5 -- Over/Under: 221 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: NBA League Pass

The San Antonio Spurs and the Miami Heat collide at the Kaseya Center on Sunday afternoon. Here’s a San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat Pick.

San Antonio Spurs 

The San Antonio Spurs have been in a funk as they've lost five of their last six games overall. The Spurs will be hoping to avoid a third straight defeat after getting thrashed by the Grizzlies in a 140-112 loss on Friday. Devin Vassell led the team with 21 points and five assists, Stephon Castle added 20 points on seven of 11 shooting while Victor Wembenyama tallied 19 points with 12 rebounds and six blocks. As a team, the Spurs shot 47 percent from the field and 13 of 36 from the 3-point line as they got off to a solid start and took the narrow lead into halftime. Only to get completely blown out by 78-48 in the second half as they had no answer for the Grizzlies who shot over 56 percent from the field for the game. The Spurs will meet the Pacers (twice), Clippers, and Bucks after this game.

Miami Heat 

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been doing it tough as they've lost six of their last nine games overall and they will be hoping to arrest a three-game skid after getting routed by the Nuggets in a 133-113 loss on Friday. Tyler Herro led the team with 22 points on 10 of 17 shooting, Jimmy Butler added 18 points while Bam Adebayo tallied 16 points with 11 rebounds and four assists. As a team, the Heat shot 49 percent from the field and nine of 33 from the 3-point line, but they struggled to contain the Nuggets from the start and were never in the contest after allowing 67 points in the first half. 

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Spurs have lost eight of their last nine road games against Southeast Division opponents.
  • The Heat have won eight of their last nine games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in six of their last seven games as home favorites following a home loss.
  • The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

  • The Heat have lost each of their last two games as home favorites against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
  • The Spurs have won seven of their last 13 games as underdogs following a loss.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven day games.
  • The road team has covered the spread in each of the Spurs' last three games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Spurs' last five day games against Southeast Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Heat's last five day games against Southwest Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Spurs are still shorthanded with Jeremy Sochan out again, while the Heat are still missing Josh Richardson. The Spurs have shown glimpses of their potential in recent games, but they still haven't been able to build any momentum and are coming into this one fresh off a bad loss to the Grizzlies. The Heat are coming into this one in similar form as they also got blown out in their last game even with Jimmy Butler back in the lineup. It's hard to split these two teams at the moment, but it still feels safer to lean towards the Heat at home despite all their recent dramas.
 
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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