Dallas Mavericks (22-19) vs Oklahoma City Thunder (34-6)
Game Info: Friday, January 17, 2025 at 8:30 pm (American Airlines Center)
Betting Odds: Dallas Mavericks +7.5 -- Over/Under: 223.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: NBA League Pass
The Oklahoma City Thunder and Dallas Mavericks meet Friday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s an Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include an Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the 76ers and Cavs, and they play the Nets, Jazz, and Mavericks next. The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 116.2 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 103.4 points on 42.5 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.4 points and 6 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 20.6 points and 5.7 rebounds. Isaiah Hartenstein is the third double-digit scorer and Luguentz Dort is grabbing 4.4 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 35.4 percent from beyond the arc and 82.5 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 32 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.8 rebounds per game.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Nuggets and Pelicans, and they play the Hornets, Timberwolves, and Thunder next. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 115.6 points on 47.7 percent shooting and allowing 112.2 points on 45.6 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 28.1 points and 7.8 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 23.9 points and 4.5 rebounds. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and PJ Washington is grabbing 7.8 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 77.1 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.6 rebounds per game.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Mavericks have won each of their last two games as underdogs against the Thunder following a loss.
- The Thunder have lost eight of their last 10 games at American Airlines Center when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in four of the last five games between the Thunder and Mavericks.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games when playing with a rest disadvantage against the Mavericks.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last eight games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Mavericks have lost eight of their last 10 games.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last seven night games at American Airlines Center.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine night games.
Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts
- Cason Wallace ranks 5th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.2) this season.
- Luguentz Dort ranks 35th amongst qualified players for 3P% (41.5%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mavericks rank 27th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (12.0).
- The Mavericks rank 4th in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (12.8).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for steals per game this season (11.6).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent steals per game this season (6.7).
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
The Mavs will continue to be without Dante Exum, Dereck Lively II, and Luka Doncic. Kyrie Irving is questionable with a back issue.
The Thunder will be without Nikola Topic, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, and Ajay Mitchell.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
The Dallas Mavericks are at home with the rest advantage, but they're still down Luka and could be without Kyrie as well. The Mavs are 2-8 SU and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games. No, thanks. The Oklahoma City Thunder are on the end of a back-to-back, but they continue to rack up wins and covers. With a 28-10-3 ATS record, the Thunder are easily the best cover team in the NBA. As I've said before, it's to the point you just blindly keep backing the Thunder until the tickets stop cashing. It hasn't happened yet. Give me the Thunder in another blowout win over a Mavs team that's still banged up.
Randy’s Pick Oklahoma City Thunder -7.5
AUTHOR: Randy Chambers
