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Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings Prediction 1/16/25 NBA Picks

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Sacramento Kings (20-20) vs Houston Rockets (27-12)

January 16, 2025 at 10:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Sacramento Kings -4.5 — Over/Under: 227

(Get latest betting odds)

The Houston Rockets and Sacramento Kings meet Thursday in NBA action at the Golden 1 Center. Here’s a Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings Prediction. This article will include a Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings Pick.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

The Houston Rockets beat the Grizzlies and Nuggets, and they play the Trail Blazers, Pistons, and Cavs next. The Houston Rockets are averaging 113.3 points on 44.5 percent shooting and allowing 107.3 points on 44.7 percent shooting. Jalen Green is averaging 21 points and 4.4 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 19.3 points and 10.4 rebounds. Fred VanVleet is the third double-digit scorer and Dillon Brooks is grabbing 4 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 33.4 percent from beyond the arc and 76 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.6 rebounds per game.

Sacramento Kings Betting Preview

The Sacramento Kings beat the Bulls, lost to the Bucks, and they play the Wizards, Warriors, and Nuggets next. The Sacramento Kings are averaging 116.2 points on 47.4 percent shooting and allowing 113.9 points on 46.3 percent shooting. De’Aaron Fox is averaging 26.5 points and 5.2 rebounds, while DeMar DeRozan is averaging 21.1 points and 3.7 rebounds. Domantas Sabonis is the third double-digit scorer and Malik Monk is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 34.8 percent from beyond the arc and 80.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 37.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Sacramento Kings will win

  • The Kings have won each of their last five night games against the Rockets at Golden 1 Center.
  • The Rockets have lost 25 of their last 30 road games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Kings.
  • The Kings have covered the spread in five of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

  • The Kings have lost each of their last three games as home favorites when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Rockets have won seven of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Kings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 12 Thursday night games.
  • The road team has covered the spread in each of the Rockets’ last six games.

Sacramento Kings Player Facts

  • Keegan Murray ranks 15th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (7.2) this season.
  • DeMar DeRozan ranks 31st amongst qualified players for points per game (21.1) this season.

Houston Rockets Player Facts

  • Jalen Green ranks 6th in the league for fast break points (161) this season.
  • Fred VanVleet ranks 6th amongst qualified players for assist:turnover ratio (4.1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Kings rank 3rd in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (9.7).
  • The Kings rank 28th in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (14.5).
  • The Rockets rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (73.4%).
  • The Rockets rank 1st in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (93.6).

Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings Injury Report

The Rockets will be without Tari Eason, Jock Landale, and Jabari Smith Jr.

The Kings won’t have Jordan McLaughlin due to personal reasons. Malik Monk is probable for the Kings despite a groin injury.

Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings Prediction

This line makes no sense to me. Yes, the Rockets are on the end of a back-to-back, but they blew out the Nuggets, so their guys didn’t have to log a ton of minutes. The Sacramento Kings are at home with the rest edge, and they’re playing their best ball of the season. However, the Kings have also lost 12 times at home this season. The Rockets are 13-5 SU on the road and are a top-five cover team in the NBA with a 23-16 ATS record. The Rockets are more than capable of winning this game outright, and the fact they’re nearly five-point underdogs is nuts to me. I’m taking the points with the Rockets.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Houston Rockets +4.5

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