Dallas Mavericks (22-17) vs Denver Nuggets (23-15)
Game Info: Tuesday, January 14, 2025 at 9:30 pm (American Airlines Center)
Betting Odds: Dallas Mavericks +4.5 -- Over/Under: 231.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: TNT
The Denver Nuggets and Dallas Mavericks meet Tuesday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets beat the Mavs and Nets, and they play the Rockets, Heat, and Magic next. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 120.4 points on 49.9 percent shooting and allowing 116.1 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 31.2 points and 13.2 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 19 points and 3.9 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Gordon is grabbing 5.8 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 37.8 percent from beyond the arc and 75.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.5 rebounds per game.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks beat the Trail Blazers, lost to the Nuggets, and they play the Pelicans, Thunder, and Hornets next. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 116.1 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 111.9 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 28.1 points and 7.8 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 24.3 points and 4.6 rebounds. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and PJ Washington is grabbing 7.6 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 37.4 percent from beyond the arc and 77.5 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Mavericks have won each of their last seven home games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Nuggets have lost four of their last five games as road favorites following a road win.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Nuggets have won eight of their last 10 road games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Mavericks have lost four of their last five night games against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against Northwest Division opponents.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in five of their last six games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
Dallas Mavericks Player Facts
- Spencer Dinwiddie ranks 34th amongst qualified players for FT% (85.8%) this season.
Denver Nuggets Player Facts
- Michael Porter Jr. ranks 9th amongst qualified Forwards for three-pointers made Per Game (2.6) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mavericks rank 4th in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (36.0).
- The Dallas Mavericks are one of only four teams to lose a home game against the Suns this season.
- The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (31.1).
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goals made per game this season (45.1).
Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
The Mavs will continue to be without Kyrie Irving, Dante Exum, and Luka Doncic.
The Nuggets will be without DaRon Holmes II and Vlatko Cancar. While Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, and Nikola Jokic are on the injury list, they’re all considered probable.
Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
As I said in the previous write-up between the Nuggets and the Mavs, it's hard to back Dallas when it doesn't have Kyrie or Luka. In the game on Sunday, the Mavericks had an 18-point lead late in the third quarter and still lost. It's hard to come back from that. It appears the Nuggets are doing that thing again where they play with their food and then completely take over in the last 12 minutes. The Mavs are 3-7 SU and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games. The Nuggets are 7-3 ATS and SU in their last 10 games. The winner of the last 10 games between the Nuggets and Mavericks is 9-0-1 ATS. This line is soft given the Maverick's injury situation. I'll lay the points.
Randy’s Pick Denver Nuggets -4.5
AUTHOR: Randy Chambers
