Portland Trail Blazers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction NBA Picks 1/4/25

Milwaukee Bucks (18-15) vs Portland Trail Blazers (11-22)

Game Info: Saturday, January 4, 2025 at 8:00 pm (Fiserv Forum)

Betting Odds: Milwaukee Bucks -11.5 / Portland Trail Blazers +11.5 --- Over/Under: 228 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Portland Trail Blazers and Milwaukee Bucks meet Saturday in NBA action at the Fiserv Forum. Here’s a Portland Trail Blazers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction. This article will include a Portland Trail Blazers vs Milwaukee Bucks Pick.

Portland Trail Blazers Betting Preview

The Portland Trail Blazers lost to the 76ers and Lakers, and they play the Pistons, Pelicans, and Mavericks next. The Portland Trail Blazers are averaging 108.1 points on 44.4 percent shooting and allowing 117.3 points on 48.2 percent shooting. Shaedon Sharpe is averaging 17.8 points and 3.5 rebounds, while Anfernee Simons is averaging 17.5 points and 2.7 rebounds. Jerami Grant is the third double-digit scorer and Deandre Ayton is grabbing 10.2 rebounds. The Portland Trail Blazers are shooting 33.1 percent from beyond the arc and 77 percent from the free-throw line. The Portland Trail Blazers are allowing 38 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.1 rebounds per game.

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Bucks lost to the Nets, beat the Pacers, and they play the Raptors, Spurs, and Magic next. The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 113.3 points on 48.4 percent shooting and allowing 111.9 points on 45.1 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 32.6 points and 11.6 rebounds, while Damian Lillard is averaging 25.2 points and 4.5 rebounds. Bobby Portis is the third double-digit scorer and Khris Middleton is grabbing 4.3 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 38.9 percent from beyond the arc and 72.9 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

  • The Trail Blazers have lost 27 of their last 29 road games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The home team has won seven of the Trail Blazers' last eight games.
  • The Trail Blazers have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Bucks have covered the spread in five of their last six night games against Northwest Division opponents.

Why the Portland Trail Blazers will win

  • The Bucks have lost four of their last six games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.
  • The road team has won four of the Bucks' last five games.
  • The Trail Blazers have covered the spread in each of their last six games as road underdogs against Central Division opponents.
  • The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 night games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.

Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts

  • Bobby Portis ranks 27th amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (8.1) this season.

Portland Trail Blazers Player Facts

  • Scoot Henderson ranks 19th amongst qualified players for assists per 36 minutes (7.2) this season.
  • Toumani Camara ranks T31st amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Bucks rank 30th in the league for Q4 points per game this season (25.6).
  • The Bucks rank 2nd in the league for three-point percentage this season (38.5%).
  • The Trail Blazers rank 29th in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (6.4).
  • The Trail Blazers rank 29th in the league for Q4 opponent points per game this season (29.9).

Portland Trail Blazers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction

The Milwaukee Bucks are obviously comfortably the better team, and it wouldn't be shocking to see them blow the doors off at home. The problem is the Bucks don't handle massive chalk well. In fact, we just saw the Bucks lose to the Nets as a 12-point favorite. And while you can say that's a fluke, the Bucks have now outright lost 4 of their last 6 games as a double-digit favorite. The underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in the last five games between the Trail Blazers and Bucks. This pick has nothing to do with the Trail Blazers, it's more of the Bucks not showing up as massive favorites. Give me the points with the Trail Blazers.

Randy’s Pick Portland Trail Blazers +11.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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