Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction NBA Picks 1/4/25

San Antonio Spurs (18-16) vs Denver Nuggets (19-14)

Game Info: Saturday, January 4, 2025 at 8:00 pm (Frost Bank Center)

Betting Odds: San Antonio Spurs +1.5 / Denver Nuggets -1.5 --- Over/Under: 237.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Denver Nuggets and San Antonio Spurs meet Saturday in NBA action at the Frost Bank Center. Here’s a Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction. This article will include a Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Pick.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets beat the Hawks, lost to the Spurs, and they play the Celtics, Clippers, and Nets next. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 121.1 points on 50.3 percent shooting and allowing 117.6 points on 46 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 30.7 points and 13 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 19.8 points and 4.1 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Christian Braun is grabbing 4.7 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38.1 percent from beyond the arc and 76.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview

The San Antonio Spurs beat the Nuggets, lost to the Timberwolves, and they play the Bulls, Bucks, and Lakers next. The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 111.5 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 111.2 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 25.6 points and 10 rebounds, while Devin Vassell is averaging 15.3 points and 2.8 assists. Jeremy Sochan is the third double-digit scorer and Keldon Johnson is dishing 1.6 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 79.8 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45 rebounds per game.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

  • The Nuggets have lost 16 of their last 17 road games against Spurs teams that held a winning record.
  • The Spurs have won 19 of their last 21 night games against the Nuggets at Frost Bank Center.
  • The Spurs have covered the spread in each of their last seven night games.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in 14 of their last 16 road games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

  • The Nuggets have won each of their last nine games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Spurs have lost each of their last nine games as underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last five games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs after winning as underdogs.

San Antonio Spurs Player Facts

  • Harrison Barnes ranks 16th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (41.4%) this season.
  • Keldon Johnson ranks 17th amongst qualified Guards for rebounds per game (5.0) this season.

Denver Nuggets Player Facts

  • Christian Braun ranks T1st in the league for fast break points (163) this season.
  • Jamal Murray ranks 16th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Spurs rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (14.5).
  • The Spurs rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (18.3).
  • The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (31.0).
  • The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for Q3 points per game this season (31.3).

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction

It's not easy to beat the same team twice in as many days, and the Nuggets have to feel like they let the Spurs off the hook. I can understand the Nuggets being favored again. However, as I said yesterday, the Spurs are figuring things out and heading in the right direction. With wins in 5 of their last 8 games and those losses coming down to the wire, the Spurs are looking good and like a potential playoff team. Wembanyama is leading the charge and the guys around him are playing hard. This isn't a Spurs team that's just happy to be there, they want to win. I'm kind of on the Spurs bandwagon. Give me the bucket... Again. 

Randy’s Pick San Antonio Spurs +1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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