Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction NBA Picks 1/1/25

Houston Rockets (21-11) vs Dallas Mavericks (20-13)

Game Info: Wednesday, January 1, 2025 at 8:00 pm (Toyota Center)

Betting Odds: Houston Rockets -5.5 / Dallas Mavericks +5.5 --- Over/Under: 222.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Dallas Mavericks and Houston Rockets meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Toyota Center. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Trail Blazers and Kings, and they play the Cavs, Grizzlies, and Lakers next. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 117.1 points on 48.2 percent shooting and allowing 111.5 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 28.1 points and 7.8 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 24.6 points and 4.5 rebounds. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and PJ Washington is grabbing 7.5 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 37.7 percent from beyond the arc and 77.8 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

The Houston Rockets lost to the Timberwolves and Heat, and they play the Celtics, Lakers, and Wizards next. The Houston Rockets are averaging 113 points on 44.3 percent shooting and allowing 106.6 points on 43.7 percent shooting. Jalen Green is averaging 19.3 points and 4.4 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 18.9 points and 10.8 rebounds. Fred VanVleet is the third double-digit scorer and Dillon Brooks is grabbing 4 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 32.7 percent from beyond the arc and 76.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49.7 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Injury Report

The Mavericks will be down Luka, while Kyrie, Dereck Lively II, and Klay Thompson are questionable. The Mavs had a similar injury report against the Kings and had a starting lineup that included Spencer Dinwiddie, Quentin Grimes, and Jaden Hardy. The Mavs shot 42.1 percent from the field in that contest.

Tari Eason and Jae’Sean Tate are questionable for the Rockets. Tate is battling an illness and Eason has a lower leg injury.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

  • The Rockets have won eight of their last nine games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Mavericks have lost 12 of their last 14 games at Toyota Center against Rockets teams that held a winning record.
  • The Rockets have covered the spread in each of their last six home games against the Mavericks following a home loss.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games at Toyota Center.

Total Points Facts

  • Eight of the Rockets' last nine night games against the Mavericks following a home loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Four of the Mavericks' last five games at Toyota Center have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Rockets rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (74.3%).
  • The Rockets rank 1st in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (93.9).
  • The Mavericks rank 3rd in the league for Q2 opponent points per game this season (26.3).
  • The Dallas Mavericks are one of only three teams to lose a home game against the Suns this season.

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction

The Houston Rockets are a young team that just allowed comebacks against the Timberwolves and Heat, so who knows how that locker room is doing? The Rockets also had that Tyler Herro incident, so there's clearly some frustration building. Who knows how long this will continue. With that said, the Dallas Mavericks have all of their key players on the injury report, and we saw them not play against the Kings. If that's the case here, the Rockets should win comfortably. At the time of this writing, the Rockets are the only play. However, you should check the injury report before betting. 

Randy’s Pick Houston Rockets -5.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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