Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat Prediction NBA Picks 12/23/24

Pick details

Miami Heat (13-13) vs Brooklyn Nets (11-17)

December 23, 2024 at 07:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Heat -8.5 / Brooklyn Nets — Over/Under: 212.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Brooklyn Nets invade the Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Monday night. Here’s a Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat Pick.

Brooklyn Nets 

The Brooklyn Nets have been in a slump as they’ve lost seven of their last nine games overall and they will be hoping for a better effort after getting routed by the struggling Jazz in a 105-94 home defeat on Saturday. Cameron Johnson led the team with 18 points and five assists, Ben Simmons added 15 points with 10 assists while Shake Milton chipped in with 11 points off the bench. As a team, the Nets shot just 40 percent from the field and seven of 40 from the 3-point line as they struggled to find their offense and trailed going into halftime before they went ice-cold and managed just 18 points in the third quarter to see the deficit balloon to 20 points at one stage. 

Miami Heat 

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have cooled off from their four-game win streak as they are now hoping to avoid a fourth straight defeat after coming up short against the depleted Magic in a 121-114 road defeat on Saturday. Bam Adebayo and Terry Rozier scored 23 points each, Tyler Herro added 22 points with five assists while Dru Smith chipped in with 14 points. As a team, the Heat shot 48 percent from the field and nine of 32 from the 3-point line as they stormed out of the gates with 76 points in the first half to lead by as many as 25 points, but they must have thought the game was already won as they switched off and scored just eight points in the fourth quarter to allow the Magic to steal the game in the end. 

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Heat have won seven of their last eight home games against the Nets following a road loss.
  • The Nets have lost eight of their last nine road games against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
  • The Nets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against Southeast Division opponents.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in eight of their last 10 games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of the Nets’ last eight games against Southeast Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Heat’s last five home games against the Nets following a road loss has gone UNDER the total points line.

Miami Heat Player Facts

  • Duncan Robinson ranks 16th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (3.9) this season.

Brooklyn Nets Player Facts

  • Nicolas Claxton ranks 17th amongst qualified players for Blocks Per Game (1.2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Heat rank 29th in the league for Q1 win percentage this season (26.9%).
  • The Heat rank 3rd in the league for opponent steals per game this season (7.0).
  • The Nets rank 30th in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (84.5).
  • The Nets rank 29th in the league for blocks per game this season (3.9).

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Nets are still missing Bojan Bogdanovic, Cam Thomas, and Ziaire Williams, while the Heat are keeping an eye on Jimmy Butler who is questionable with an illness. This is another game where you want to check the lineups before tipoff, but even if the Heat are missing Butler again, I back them to bounce back and turn things around sooner rather than later. The Nets are capable of making an upset, but they’re in shambles at the moment and have just lost to a slumping Jazz squad. The line is higher than I’d like, but I still think the Heat get back on track with a win and cover here.

Peter Tran's Pick: Miami -8.5

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